João Tovar Jalles

University of Lisbon

R. Branca Edmée Marques

Dept. Plant Biology

Lisboa, 1600-276

Portugal

International Monetary Fund (IMF)

700 19th Street, N.W.

Washington, DC 20431

United States

Technical University of Lisbon (UTL) - Research Unit on Complexity and Economics (UECE)

Rua Miguel Lupi, 20

Lisboa, 1200-781

Portugal

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

73

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8,858

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152

CROSSREF CITATIONS

37

Scholarly Papers (73)

1.

Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter: A Concise Review

FEUNL Working Paper No. 541
Number of pages: 30 Posted: 20 Nov 2009
João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon
Downloads 589 (88,458)
Citation 30

Abstract:

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SUTSE, cointegration, ARIMA, smoothing, likelihood

2.

Empirical Applications of Neoclassical Growth Models the Fit of the Solow Augmented Growth Model

FEUNL Working Paper Series No. 520
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 26 Nov 2007
João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon
Downloads 515 (104,564)

Abstract:

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3.

Government Spending Efficiency, Measurement and Applications: A Cross-country Efficiency Dataset

REM Working Paper 0147-2020
Number of pages: 30 Posted: 02 Dec 2020
António Afonso, João Tovar Jalles and Ana Venâncio
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa, University of Lisbon and ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa
Downloads 473 (115,805)
Citation 5

Abstract:

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government spending efficiency, public sector performance, non-parametric estimation, DEA, OECD

4.

EU Competition Policy: Some Real Case Applications

FEUNL Working Paper Series No. 521
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 26 Nov 2007
João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon
Downloads 459 (120,042)

Abstract:

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5.

Feeling the Heat: Climate Shocks and Credit Ratings

IMF Working Paper No. 2020/286
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 26 Jan 2021
Serhan Cevik and João Tovar Jalles
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and University of Lisbon
Downloads 456 (120,970)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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6.

Economic Performance and Government Size

ECB Working Paper No. 1399
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 30 Nov 2011
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa and University of Lisbon
Downloads 443 (125,199)
Citation 25

Abstract:

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Growth, institutions, fiscal rules, pooled mean group, common correlated effects

7.

Endogenous Growth Models: Jones vs. Romer the Path to a Fully-Fledged Dynamic Analysis

FEUNL Working Paper Series No. 522
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 26 Nov 2007
João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon
Downloads 420 (133,195)

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8.
Downloads 364 (156,534)
Citation 13

Growth and Productivity: The Role of Government Debt

Technical University of Lisbon Department of Economics Working Paper No. 13/2011/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 43 Posted: 24 Jul 2011
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa and University of Lisbon
Downloads 364 (155,322)
Citation 13

Abstract:

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government debt, crises, panel analysis

Growth and Productivity: The Role of Government Debt

International Review of Economics & Finance, Forthcoming
Posted: 24 Jun 2012
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa and University of Lisbon

Abstract:

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government debt, crises, panel analysis

Revisiting Fiscal Sustainability: Panel Cointegration and Structural Breaks in OECD Countries

ECB Working Paper No. 1465
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 05 Sep 2012
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa and University of Lisbon
Downloads 199 (286,634)

Abstract:

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debt, primary balance, fiscal regimes, stationarity, breaks, causality, panel cointegration, FMOLS

Revisiting Fiscal Sustainability: Panel Cointegration and Structural Breaks in OECD Countries

ISEG Economics Working Paper No. 29/2012/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 25 Nov 2012
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa and University of Lisbon
Downloads 84 (564,030)
Citation 11

Abstract:

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debt, primary balance, fiscal regimes, stationarity, breaks, causality, panel

10.

The Effects of Macroeconomic, Fiscal and Monetary Policy Announcements on Sovereign Bond Spreads: An Event Study from the EMU

REM Working Paper 067-2019
Number of pages: 25 Posted: 28 Feb 2019
António Afonso, João Tovar Jalles and Mina Kazemi
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa, University of Lisbon and University of Lisbon - ISEG School of Economics and Management
Downloads 266 (217,776)
Citation 6

Abstract:

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sovereign yields, fiscal policy, monetary policy, event analysis, panel data

11.

Tax Evasion from Cross-Border Fraud: Does Digitalization Make a Difference?

IMF Working Paper No. 20/245
Number of pages: 17 Posted: 05 Jan 2021
Emmanouil Kitsios, João Tovar Jalles and Genevieve Verdier
International Monetary Fund (IMF), University of Lisbon and International Monetary Fund (IMF) - IMF Institute
Downloads 258 (224,497)

Abstract:

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12.

Twin Deficits Revisited: A Role for Fiscal Institutions?

REM Working Paper 031-2018
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 22 Mar 2018
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa, Université de Lille, LEM - CNRS (UMR 9221), University of Lisbon and Cracow University of Economics
Downloads 188 (302,508)
Citation 4

Abstract:

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current account, fiscal balance, fiscal rules, panel data, system GMM

13.

Taxation and Public Spending Efficiency: An International Comparison

REM Working Paper 080-2018
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 29 May 2019
António Afonso, João Tovar Jalles and Ana Venâncio
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa, University of Lisbon and ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa
Downloads 144 (379,851)

Abstract:

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government spending efficiency, public sector performance, tax structure, data envelopment analysis (DEA), Malmquist indices, non-parametric estimation, panel data, OECD

14.

Eye of the Storm: The Impact of Climate Shocks on Inflation and Growth

IMF Working Paper No. 2023/087
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 22 May 2023
Serhan Cevik and João Tovar Jalles
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and University of Lisbon
Downloads 138 (392,746)

Abstract:

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Climate change, natural disasters, inflation, growth, local projections, panel data, growth dynamics, influence inflation, impact of climate, food inflation, climate-economy nexus, Fiscal space, Global

15.

Causality for the Government Budget and Economic Growth

Department of Economics, ISEG-UL, Working Paper nº WP07/2014/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 6 Posted: 28 Apr 2014
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa and University of Lisbon
Downloads 136 (397,218)
Citation 5

Abstract:

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government expenditures, goverment revenues, panel causality, GMM

16.

Fiscal Composition and Long-Term Growth

ECB Occasional Paper No. 1518
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 08 Mar 2013
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa and University of Lisbon
Downloads 133 (404,304)
Citation 7

Abstract:

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Budget deficit, budget decomposition, panel analysis, panel causality

17.
Downloads 128 (416,374)

Appraising Fiscal Reaction Functions

ISEG-UTL Economics Working Paper No. 23/2011/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 16 Posted: 05 Nov 2011
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa and University of Lisbon
Downloads 128 (417,827)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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fiscal regimes, Panel VAR, cross-sectional dependence

Appraising Fiscal Reaction Functions

Economics Bulletin, 2011, 31 (4), 3320-3330
Posted: 24 Jun 2012
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa and University of Lisbon

Abstract:

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fiscal regimes, Panel VAR, cross-sectional dependence

18.

This Changes Everything: Climate Shocks and Sovereign Bonds

IMF Working Paper No. 20/79
Number of pages: 25 Posted: 23 Jul 2020
Serhan Cevik and João Tovar Jalles
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and University of Lisbon
Downloads 125 (423,943)

Abstract:

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19.

How Well Do Economists Forecast Recessions?

IMF Working Paper No. 18/39
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 27 Aug 2019
Zidong An, João Tovar Jalles and Prakash Loungani
International Monetary Fund (IMF), University of Lisbon and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 124 (426,586)

Abstract:

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Economic forecasting, Economic recession, Economic models, Economic growth, Business cycles, Production growth, Financial crises, recession, bias, efficiency, information rigidity, forecast comparison, recession year, current-year, forecast, forecaster, emerge economy

20.

Structural Reforms and Income Distribution: New Evidence for OECD Countries

CESifo Working Paper No. 10214
Number of pages: 57 Posted: 25 Jan 2023
Rasmus Wiese, João Tovar Jalles and Jakob de Haan
University of Groningen, University of Lisbon and CESifo (Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute)
Downloads 119 (439,966)

Abstract:

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structural reforms, income distribution, local projections, nonlinearities

21.
Downloads 118 (442,723)
Citation 2

Do Fiscal Rules Matter for Growth?

ISEG Department of Economics Working Paper No. 07/2012/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 8 Posted: 23 Feb 2012
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa and University of Lisbon
Downloads 118 (444,837)
Citation 2

Abstract:

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fiscal rules, growth, government size, panel analysis

Do Fiscal Rules Matter for Growth?

Applied Economics Letters, Vol. 20, No. 1, 2013 (Forthcoming)
Posted: 24 Jun 2012
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa and University of Lisbon

Abstract:

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fiscal rules, growth, government size, panel analysis

22.

Do Fiscal Rules Lower Government Financing Costs?

REM Working Paper 015-2017
Number of pages: 22 Posted: 29 Nov 2017
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa and University of Lisbon
Downloads 111 (463,480)
Citation 5

Abstract:

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fiscal rules, sovereign yields, financing costs, impulse response functions, local projection

23.

A Narrative Database of Major Labor and Product Market Reforms in Advanced Economies

IMF Working Paper No. 18/19
Number of pages: 91 Posted: 08 Feb 2018 Last Revised: 18 Nov 2021
International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), World Bank, University of Lisbon and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 109 (469,711)
Citation 1

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Reform; Regulation; Product Market; Network Industries; Labor Market; Employment Protection; Unemployment insurance, Reform, Regulation, Product Market, Network Industries, Labor Market, Employment Protection, Unemployment insurance, Legal Monopolies and Regulation or Deregulation, Economics of Regulation, Institutions and Growth

24.

Linking Investment and Fiscal Policies

Technical University of Lisbon – ISEG, Working Paper No. 16/2011/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 18 Sep 2011
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa and University of Lisbon
Downloads 103 (489,080)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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budgetary decomposition, panel analysis, causality, non-linearities, fiscal-rules

25.

Quantitative Easing and Sovereign Yield Spreads: Euro-Area Time-Varying Evidence

REM Working Paper 020-2017
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 11 Dec 2017
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa and University of Lisbon
Downloads 102 (492,384)
Citation 5

Abstract:

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sovereign bonds, fiscal policy, non-conventional monetary policy, time-varying coefficients, panel data

26.

Assessing the Sustainability of External Imbalances in the European Union

ISEG Economics Department Working Paper No. WP 10/2017/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 47 Posted: 15 Jun 2017
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa, Université de Lille, LEM - CNRS (UMR 9221), University of Lisbon and Cracow University of Economics
Downloads 102 (492,384)

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current account, exports, imports, net foreign assets, unit roots, structural breaks, cointegration, error-correction, cross-sectional dependence

Fiscal Volatility, Financial Crises and Growth

ISEG Economics Working Paper No. 06/2012/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 9 Posted: 23 Feb 2012
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa and University of Lisbon
Downloads 99 (506,626)

Abstract:

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growth, fiscal volatility, crises, panel analysis

Fiscal Volatility, Financial Crises and Growth

Applied Economics Letters, Vol. 19, No. 18, 2012
Posted: 24 Jun 2012
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa and University of Lisbon

Abstract:

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growth, fiscal volatility, crises, panel analysis

28.

Sovereign Debt Effects and Composition: Evidence from Time-Varying Estimates

ISEG Economics Department Working Paper No. WP 03/2017/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 14 Posted: 20 Jan 2017
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa and University of Lisbon
Downloads 97 (509,194)
Citation 3

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29.

An Apocalypse Foretold: Climate Shocks and Sovereign Defaults

IMF Working Paper No. 20/231
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 05 Jan 2021
Serhan Cevik and João Tovar Jalles
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and University of Lisbon
Downloads 90 (534,283)
Citation 7

Abstract:

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30.

Sovereign Ratings and Finance Ministers’ Characteristics

REM Working Paper 072-2019
Number of pages: 15 Posted: 09 Mar 2019
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa and University of Lisbon
Downloads 81 (569,893)

Abstract:

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sovereign ratings, ordered probit, sovereign debt, panel data, principal components

31.

Fiscal Stabilization and Growth: Evidence from Industry-Level Data for Advanced and Developing Economies

IMF Working Paper No. 17/198
Number of pages: 49 Posted: 21 Mar 2018
Sangyup Choi, Davide Furceri and João Tovar Jalles
Yonsei University, International Monetary Fund (IMF) and University of Lisbon
Downloads 79 (578,290)

Abstract:

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Financial data, Fiscal stabilization, Fiscal stabilization, Total factor productivity, Fiscal policy, Developed countries, Developing countries, Economic growth, industry-level data, time varying coefficients, growth, technologies of production, General

32.

A Longer-Run Perspective on Fiscal Sustainability

ISEG Working Paper No. 17
Number of pages: 30 Posted: 18 Sep 2011
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa and University of Lisbon
Downloads 78 (582,556)
Citation 3

Abstract:

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fiscal sustainability, government debt, unit roots, breaks, structural time series

33.

Slow Recovery to Nowhere? A Sectoral View of Labor Markets in Advanced Economies

World Economic Outlook, September 2011
Number of pages: 9 Posted: 24 Dec 2011
Prakash Loungani, Su Wang, Laura Feiveson and João Tovar Jalles
International Monetary Fund (IMF), Department of Economics, M.I.T., Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and University of Lisbon
Downloads 77 (586,777)

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employment, productivity, middle-income jobs, inequality

34.

To Consolidate or Not to Consolidate? A Multi-Step Analysis to Assess Needed Fiscal Sustainability

CESifo Working Paper No. 9618
Number of pages: 29 Posted: 17 Mar 2022
António Afonso, José Alves and João Tovar Jalles
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa, University of Lisbon and University of Lisbon
Downloads 73 (604,470)

Abstract:

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fiscal consolidation, cyclically-adjusted primary balance, sustainability, panel data, time-varying

35.

Euro Area Time Varying Fiscal Sustainability

ISEG Economics Department Working Paper No. WP 13/2015/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 19 Posted: 22 Sep 2015
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa and University of Lisbon
Downloads 71 (613,757)
Citation 1

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fiscal sustainability, causality, impulse response functions, time-varying coefficients, fiscal rules, logistic model

36.

Government Spending and Tax Revenue Decentralization and Public Sector Efficiency: Do Natural Disasters Matter?

CESifo Working Paper No. 10424
Number of pages: 43 Posted: 23 May 2023
António Afonso, João Tovar Jalles and Ana Venâncio
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa, University of Lisbon and ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa
Downloads 70 (618,489)

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public sector efficiency, data envelopment analysis, local projections, revenue decentralization, spending decentralization, natural disasters, OECD

37.

Do Financial Markets Reward Government Spending Efficiency?

REM Working Paper 0166-2021
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 23 Mar 2021
António Afonso, João Tovar Jalles and Ana Venâncio
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa, University of Lisbon and ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa
Downloads 70 (618,489)

Abstract:

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government spending efficiency, DEA, panel analysis, ordered probit (logit); sovereign ratings, rating agencies

38.

Economic Volatility and Sovereign Yields' Determinants: A Time-Varying Approach

ISEG Economics Department Working Paper No. WP 04/2016/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 08 Jan 2016
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa and University of Lisbon
Downloads 68 (628,148)

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volatility, fiscal policy, bond spreads, weighted least squares, time-varying coefficients

39.

Structural Tax Reforms and Public Spending Efficiency

REM Working Paper 0146-2020
Number of pages: 47 Posted: 02 Dec 2020
António Afonso, João Tovar Jalles and Ana Venâncio
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa, University of Lisbon and ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa
Downloads 66 (637,947)
Citation 3

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government spending efficiency; tax reforms; data envelopment analysis; non-parametric estimation; panel data; political economy

Measuring the Success of Fiscal Consolidations

ISEG-UTL Economics Working Paper No. 22/2011/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 12 Posted: 06 Nov 2011
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa and University of Lisbon
Downloads 66 (648,940)

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fiscal episodes, panel data, logit

Measuring the Success of Fiscal Consolidations

Applied Financial Economics, Vol. 22, No. 13, 2012
Posted: 24 Jun 2012
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa and University of Lisbon

Abstract:

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fiscal episodes, panel data, logit

41.

For Whom the Bell Tolls: Climate Change and Inequality

IMF Working Paper No. 2022/103
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 07 Jun 2022
Serhan Cevik and João Tovar Jalles
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and University of Lisbon
Downloads 64 (648,192)
Citation 7

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42.

Shifting the Beveridge Curve: What Affects Labor Market Matching?

IMF Working Paper No. 16/93
Number of pages: 34 Posted: 09 Dec 2016
Elva Bova, João Tovar Jalles and Christina Elisabeth Kolerus
Independent, University of Lisbon and International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department
Downloads 62 (658,666)
Citation 3

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Labor markets, Labor supply, Labor demand, Unemployment, Labor market characteristics, Econometric models, Time series, vacancies, unemployment, employment protection legislation, cointegration, breaks, probit

43.

The Fiscal-Growth Nexus

Technical University of Lisbon Department of Economics Working Paper No. 01/2012/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 13 Feb 2012
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa and University of Lisbon
Downloads 61 (663,963)

Abstract:

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budgetary decomposition, crises, panel analysis

44.

Assessing Fiscal Episodes

ISEG Working Paper No. 15/2011/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 17 Sep 2011
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa and University of Lisbon
Downloads 61 (663,963)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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fiscal consolidation, non-Keynesian effects, panel data, logit

45.

Revisiting the Countercyclicality of Fiscal Policy

IMF Working Paper No. 2023/089
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 22 May 2023
University of Lisbon, International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 57 (685,791)

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Countercyclical fiscal policy, automatic stabilizers, discretionary ficsal policy, fiscal multipliers, stabilization coefficients, local projection, Countercyclicality of fiscal policy, countercyclicality of fiscal policies, Countercyclicality coefficient, novel dataset, fiscal counter-cyclicality, government size, Fiscal stabilization, Emerging and frontier financial markets, Global

46.

Economic Growth after Debt Surges

IMF Working Paper No. 2022/159
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 10 Aug 2022
João Tovar Jalles and Paulo A. Medas
University of Lisbon and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 57 (685,791)

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Public debt, private debt, economic growth, potential GDP, investment, panel data, local projection, nonlinearities

47.

The Fiscal Consequences of Deflation: Evidence from the Golden Age of Globalization

ISEG Economics Department Working Paper No. WP 23/2016/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 14 Oct 2016
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa and University of Lisbon
Downloads 57 (685,791)
Citation 1

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debt, deflation, local projection, impulse response functions, GMM, recessions, expansions

48.

A Tale of Government Spending Efficiency and Trust in the State

CESifo Working Paper No. 10075
Number of pages: 34 Posted: 18 Nov 2022
António Afonso, João Tovar Jalles and Ana Venâncio
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa, University of Lisbon and ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa
Downloads 54 (703,182)

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government spending efficiency, DEA, panel data analysis, confidence effects, ideology, fiscal rules

49.

Minimum Wage and Collective Bargaining Reforms: A Narrative Database for Advance Economies

CESifo Working Paper No. 9692
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 20 Apr 2022
António Afonso, João Tovar Jalles and Zoe Venter
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa, University of Lisbon and Católica-Lisbon SBE
Downloads 54 (703,182)

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labour market policies, minimum wage, collective bargaining, labour productivity, growth, local projection

50.

Fiscal Activism and Price Volatility: Evidence from Advanced and Emerging Economies

ISEG Economics Department Working Paper No. WP 04/2017/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 25 Posted: 23 Jan 2017
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa and University of Lisbon
Downloads 53 (708,931)

Abstract:

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volatility, fiscal policy, inflation, GARCH, Consensus Forecasts

51.

(Non-)Keynesian Effects of Fiscal Austerity: New Evidence from a Large Sample

REM Working Paper 0158-2021
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 18 Feb 2021
António Afonso, José Alves and João Tovar Jalles
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa, University of Lisbon and University of Lisbon
Downloads 52 (715,152)

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non-Keynesian effects, fiscal consolidation, filtering, consumption, investment, financial crises, panel data, endogeneity

52.

Fiscal Reaction Functions Across the World: A Battle of Statistical (In-)Significance

REM Working Paper 016-2017
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 29 Nov 2017
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa and University of Lisbon
Downloads 52 (715,152)

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fiscal regimes, FTPL, panel data, panel VAR, panel stationarity, cross-sectional dependence, global financial crisis

53.

2022 Update of the External Balance Assessment Methodology

IMF Working Paper No. 2023/047
Number of pages: 68 Posted: 15 Mar 2023
International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Fiscal Affairs Department, International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF)International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund, International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF) and University of Lisbon
Downloads 50 (733,964)

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Current accounts, exchange rates, external sustainability, external sector assessments, global imbalances, OECD product market, EBA gaps adjustment, EBA current account model, EBA REER, labor market rigidity, External balance assessment (EBA), Real effective exchange rates, Current account, Current account balance, Real exchange rates, Global

54.

International Transmission of Interest Rates: The Role of International Reserves and Sovereign Debt

REM Working Paper 0156-2021
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 18 Feb 2021
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa, Université de Lille, LEM - CNRS (UMR 9221), University of Lisbon and Cracow University of Economics
Downloads 50 (727,618)

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interest rates, international reserves, government debt, spillover effects, monetary policy, fiscal policy, panel analysis

55.

Corruption Kills: Global Evidence from Natural Disasters

IMF Working Paper No. 2023/220
Number of pages: 15 Posted: 02 Nov 2023
Serhan Cevik and João Tovar Jalles
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and University of Lisbon
Downloads 49 (733,964)

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Corruption, institutions, natural disasters, fatalities

56.

Labor and Product Market Reforms and External Imbalances: Evidence from Advanced Economies

IMF Working Paper No. 2021/054
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 26 May 2021
Romain Duval, Davide Furceri and João Tovar Jalles
International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF) and University of Lisbon
Downloads 45 (760,376)

Abstract:

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57.

Globalization, Democracy and Development

NBER Working Paper No. w19575
Number of pages: 26 Posted: 25 Oct 2013 Last Revised: 28 Jun 2023
Nova School of Business and Economics, Nova School of Business and Economics, CEPII, Paris and University of Lisbon
Downloads 44 (767,218)

Abstract:

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58.

Decoupling of Emissions and GDP: Evidence from Aggregate and Provincial Chinese Data

IMF Working Paper No. 18/85
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 22 May 2018
The National Academies - National Academy of Sciences (NAS), University of Lisbon, International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF) and University of Nottingham
Downloads 42 (781,310)

Abstract:

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Greenhouse gas emissions, Gross domestic product, China, Emissions, Environmental Okun's Law, Kuznets Curve, China, Provinces

59.

Fiscal Episodes, Technological Progress and Market Power

ISEG Economics Department Working Paper No. WP09/2015/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 26 Posted: 16 Jul 2015
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa and University of Lisbon
Downloads 42 (781,310)

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imperfect competition, TFP, fiscal consolidation, local projection, business cycle, impulse response functions, GMM

60.

Markups’ Cyclical Behavior: The Role of Demand and Supply Shocks

ISEG Economics Department Working Paper No. WP08/2015/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 9 Posted: 08 May 2015
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa and University of Lisbon
Downloads 42 (781,310)

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Blanchard-Quah, mark-up, VAR, impulse response function, local projection

61.

The Cyclicality of Education, Health, and Social Security Government Spending

ISEG Economics Working Paper No. 30/2012/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 7 Posted: 25 Nov 2012
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa and University of Lisbon
Downloads 42 (781,310)

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business cycle, output gap, functional spending, panel analysis

62.

Stock Flow Adjustments in Sovereign Debt Dynamics: The Role of Fiscal Frameworks

REM Working Paper 066-2019
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 04 Feb 2019
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa and University of Lisbon
Downloads 41 (788,615)

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Government Debt, Budget Deficit, Structural Deficit, Intertemporal Government Budget Constraint, Fiscal Rules, Panel Data, System GMM, Filtering

63.

Decomposing and Analysing the Determinants of Current Accounts’ Cyclicality: Evidence from the Euro Area

REM Working Paper 042-2018
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 14 Jul 2018
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa and University of Lisbon
Downloads 38 (810,855)
Citation 1

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64.

Budgetary Decomposition and Yield Spreads

ISEG Economics Department Working Paper No. WP 05/2016/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 10 Posted: 08 Jan 2016
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa and University of Lisbon
Downloads 35 (834,291)
Citation 1

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fiscal components, bond yields, Great Recession, PVAR, impulse responses

65.

Restructuring Reforms for Green Growth

IMF Working Paper No. 2023/120
Number of pages: 30 Posted: 20 Jun 2023
Serhan Cevik and João Tovar Jalles
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and University of Lisbon
Downloads 34 (842,531)

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Structural reforms, environment, green growth, panel data, local projection, environmental policy

66.

The Price Relevance of Fiscal Developments

ISEG Economics Department Working Paper No. WP 16/2015/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 18 Posted: 25 Nov 2015
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa and University of Lisbon
Downloads 31 (867,628)
Citation 1

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price level, yields, Ricardian regimes, SURE, local projection, impulse response function

67.

Government Spending and Tax Revenue Decentralization and Public Sector Efficiency: Do Natural Disasters Matter?

REM WP 0271-2023
Number of pages: 43 Posted: 13 May 2023
António Afonso, João Tovar Jalles and Ana Venâncio
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa, University of Lisbon and ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa
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public sector efficiency; data envelopment analysis; local projections; revenue decentralization; spending decentralization; natural disasters; OECD

68.

Sovereign Indebtedness and Financial and Fiscal Conditions

REM Working Paper 111-2019
Number of pages: 10 Posted: 09 Jan 2020
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa and University of Lisbon
Downloads 24 (931,366)
Citation 1

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sovereign indebtedness, panel data, financial stress, global financial crisis, emerging markets

Globalization, Freedoms and Economic Convergence: An Empirical Exploration of A Trivariate Relationship Using A Large Panel

https://doi.org/10.1007/s10368-021-00512-7
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 06 Oct 2022
Nova School of Business and Economics, CEPII, Paris and University of Lisbon
Downloads 18 (1,036,522)

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Globalization, democracy, freedoms, development, convergence

Globalization, Freedoms and Economic Convergence: an Empirical Exploration of a Trivariate Relationship Using a Large Panel

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP16436
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 22 Sep 2021
Nova School of Business and Economics, CEPII, Paris and University of Lisbon
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convergence, democracy, Development, freedoms, Globalization, panel data, three-stage least squares

70.

Estimating Structural Budget Balances in Developing Asia

Asian Development Bank Economics Working Paper Series No. 719
Number of pages: 63 Posted: 04 Apr 2024
João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon
Downloads 14 (1,034,470)

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budget elasticity, time-varying estimation, trend-cycle decomposition, cyclically adjusted balances, one-off fiscal operations

71.

Beyond the Centre: Tracing Decentralization's Influence on Time-Varying Fiscal Sustainability

CESifo Working Paper No. 11132
Number of pages: 43 Posted: 10 Jun 2024
António Afonso, José Alves, João Tovar Jalles and Sofia Monteiro
ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa, University of Lisbon, University of Lisbon and ISEG, Universidade de Lisboa - ISEG - Universidade de Lisboa
Downloads 11 (1,065,301)

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panel data analysis, fiscal sustainability, decentralization, fiscal rules, political cycles, time-varying coefficients

72.

Labour Market Counter-Reforms in OECD Countries: Conditional Impact on Output and Employment Growth

CESifo Working Paper No. 11199
Number of pages: 50 Posted: 15 Jul 2024
Rasmus Wiese, João Tovar Jalles and Jakob de Haan
University of Groningen, University of Lisbon and CESifo (Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute)
Downloads 5 (1,123,081)

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labour market counter-reforms, output growth, employment, local projections, nonlinearities

73.

Like Father Like Sons? The Cost of Sovereign Defaults in Reduced Credit to the Private Sector

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP9303
Number of pages: 67 Posted: 01 Feb 2013
Rui Esteves and João Tovar Jalles
Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies (IHEID) and University of Lisbon
Downloads 1 (1,160,123)
Citation 5
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Credit Rationing, Foreign Investment, Pre-1914, Sovereign Default