João Tovar Jalles

University of Lisbon

R. Branca Edmée Marques

Dept. Plant Biology

Lisboa, 1600-276

Portugal

International Monetary Fund (IMF)

700 19th Street, N.W.

Washington, DC 20431

United States

Technical University of Lisbon (UTL) - Research Unit on Complexity and Economics (UECE)

Rua Miguel Lupi, 20

Lisboa, 1200-781

Portugal

  • University of Lisbon

  • International Monetary Fund (IMF)

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

66

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6,942

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76

CROSSREF CITATIONS

35

Scholarly Papers (66)

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1.

Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter: A Concise Review

FEUNL Working Paper No. 541
Number of pages: 30 Posted: 20 Nov 2009
João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon
Downloads 483 (95,340)
Citation 30

Abstract:

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SUTSE, cointegration, ARIMA, smoothing, likelihood

2.

Empirical Applications of Neoclassical Growth Models the Fit of the Solow Augmented Growth Model

FEUNL Working Paper Series No. 520
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 26 Nov 2007
João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon
Downloads 482 (95,573)

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3.

EU Competition Policy: Some Real Case Applications

FEUNL Working Paper Series No. 521
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 26 Nov 2007
João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon
Downloads 448 (104,206)

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4.

Endogenous Growth Models: Jones vs. Romer the Path to a Fully-Fledged Dynamic Analysis

FEUNL Working Paper Series No. 522
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 26 Nov 2007
João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon
Downloads 381 (125,747)

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5.

Economic Performance and Government Size

ECB Working Paper No. 1399
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 30 Nov 2011
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and University of Lisbon
Downloads 354 (136,430)
Citation 21

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Growth, institutions, fiscal rules, pooled mean group, common correlated effects

6.

Government Spending Efficiency, Measurement and Applications: A Cross-country Efficiency Dataset

REM Working Paper 0147-2020
Number of pages: 30 Posted: 02 Dec 2020
António Afonso, João Tovar Jalles and Ana Venâncio
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management), University of Lisbon and ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa
Downloads 338 (143,427)
Citation 2

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government spending efficiency, public sector performance, non-parametric estimation, DEA, OECD

7.

Feeling the Heat: Climate Shocks and Credit Ratings

IMF Working Paper No. 2020/286
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 26 Jan 2021
Serhan Cevik and João Tovar Jalles
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and University of Lisbon
Downloads 335 (145,294)

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8.

Growth and Productivity: The Role of Government Debt

Downloads 332 (146,238)

Growth and Productivity: The Role of Government Debt

Technical University of Lisbon Department of Economics Working Paper No. 13/2011/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 43 Posted: 24 Jul 2011
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and University of Lisbon
Downloads 332 (145,262)
Citation 13

Abstract:

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government debt, crises, panel analysis

Growth and Productivity: The Role of Government Debt

International Review of Economics & Finance, Forthcoming
Posted: 24 Jun 2012
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and University of Lisbon

Abstract:

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government debt, crises, panel analysis

9.

Revisiting Fiscal Sustainability: Panel Cointegration and Structural Breaks in OECD Countries

Downloads 238 (205,578)
Citation 5

Revisiting Fiscal Sustainability: Panel Cointegration and Structural Breaks in OECD Countries

ECB Working Paper No. 1465
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 05 Sep 2012
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and University of Lisbon
Downloads 190 (253,166)

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debt, primary balance, fiscal regimes, stationarity, breaks, causality, panel cointegration, FMOLS

Revisiting Fiscal Sustainability: Panel Cointegration and Structural Breaks in OECD Countries

ISEG Economics Working Paper No. 29/2012/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 25 Nov 2012
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and University of Lisbon
Downloads 48 (635,375)
Citation 11

Abstract:

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debt, primary balance, fiscal regimes, stationarity, breaks, causality, panel

10.

The Effects of Macroeconomic, Fiscal and Monetary Policy Announcements on Sovereign Bond Spreads: An Event Study from the EMU

REM Working Paper 067-2019
Number of pages: 25 Posted: 28 Feb 2019
António Afonso, João Tovar Jalles and Mina Kazemi
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management), University of Lisbon and University of Lisbon - ISEG School of Economics and Management
Downloads 234 (208,994)
Citation 2

Abstract:

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sovereign yields, fiscal policy, monetary policy, event analysis, panel data

11.

Twin Deficits Revisited: A Role for Fiscal Institutions?

REM Working Paper 031-2018
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 22 Mar 2018
António Afonso, Florence Huart, João Tovar Jalles and Piotr Leszek Stanek
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management), Université de Lille, LEM - CNRS (UMR 9221), University of Lisbon and Cracow University of Economics
Downloads 175 (272,567)
Citation 4

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current account, fiscal balance, fiscal rules, panel data, system GMM

12.

Tax Evasion from Cross-Border Fraud: Does Digitalization Make a Difference?

IMF Working Paper No. 20/245
Number of pages: 17 Posted: 05 Jan 2021
Emmanouil Kitsios, João Tovar Jalles and Genevieve Verdier
International Monetary Fund (IMF), University of Lisbon and International Monetary Fund (IMF) - IMF Institute
Downloads 172 (279,561)

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13.

Fiscal Composition and Long-Term Growth

ECB Occasional Paper No. 1518
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 08 Mar 2013
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and University of Lisbon
Downloads 123 (361,951)
Citation 7

Abstract:

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Budget deficit, budget decomposition, panel analysis, panel causality

14.

Causality for the Government Budget and Economic Growth

Department of Economics, ISEG-UL, Working Paper nº WP07/2014/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 6 Posted: 28 Apr 2014
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and University of Lisbon
Downloads 121 (366,264)
Citation 3

Abstract:

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government expenditures, goverment revenues, panel causality, GMM

15.

Appraising Fiscal Reaction Functions

Downloads 116 (377,680)

Appraising Fiscal Reaction Functions

ISEG-UTL Economics Working Paper No. 23/2011/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 16 Posted: 05 Nov 2011
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and University of Lisbon
Downloads 116 (379,500)
Citation 1

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fiscal regimes, Panel VAR, cross-sectional dependence

Appraising Fiscal Reaction Functions

Economics Bulletin, 2011, 31 (4), 3320-3330
Posted: 24 Jun 2012
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and University of Lisbon

Abstract:

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fiscal regimes, Panel VAR, cross-sectional dependence

16.

Taxation and Public Spending Efficiency: An International Comparison

REM Working Paper 080-2018
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 29 May 2019
António Afonso, João Tovar Jalles and Ana Venâncio
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management), University of Lisbon and ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa
Downloads 112 (387,373)

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government spending efficiency, public sector performance, tax structure, data envelopment analysis (DEA), Malmquist indices, non-parametric estimation, panel data, OECD

17.

How Well Do Economists Forecast Recessions?

IMF Working Paper No. 18/39
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 27 Aug 2019
Zidong An, João Tovar Jalles and Prakash Loungani
International Monetary Fund (IMF), University of Lisbon and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 110 (392,355)

Abstract:

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Economic forecasting, Economic recession, Economic models, Economic growth, Business cycles, Production growth, Financial crises, recession, bias, efficiency, information rigidity, forecast comparison, recession year, current-year, forecast, forecaster, emerge economy

18.

This Changes Everything: Climate Shocks and Sovereign Bonds

IMF Working Paper No. 20/79
Number of pages: 25 Posted: 23 Jul 2020
Serhan Cevik and João Tovar Jalles
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and University of Lisbon
Downloads 108 (397,379)

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19.

Do Fiscal Rules Matter for Growth?

Downloads 107 (400,044)
Citation 2

Do Fiscal Rules Matter for Growth?

ISEG Department of Economics Working Paper No. 07/2012/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 8 Posted: 23 Feb 2012
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and University of Lisbon
Downloads 107 (402,447)
Citation 2

Abstract:

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fiscal rules, growth, government size, panel analysis

Do Fiscal Rules Matter for Growth?

Applied Economics Letters, Vol. 20, No. 1, 2013 (Forthcoming)
Posted: 24 Jun 2012
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and University of Lisbon

Abstract:

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fiscal rules, growth, government size, panel analysis

20.

Assessing the Sustainability of External Imbalances in the European Union

ISEG Economics Department Working Paper No. WP 10/2017/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 47 Posted: 15 Jun 2017
António Afonso, Florence Huart, João Tovar Jalles and Piotr Leszek Stanek
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management), Université de Lille, LEM - CNRS (UMR 9221), University of Lisbon and Cracow University of Economics
Downloads 95 (433,812)

Abstract:

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current account, exports, imports, net foreign assets, unit roots, structural breaks, cointegration, error-correction, cross-sectional dependence

21.

Quantitative Easing and Sovereign Yield Spreads: Euro-Area Time-Varying Evidence

REM Working Paper 020-2017
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 11 Dec 2017
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and University of Lisbon
Downloads 94 (436,805)
Citation 3

Abstract:

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sovereign bonds, fiscal policy, non-conventional monetary policy, time-varying coefficients, panel data

22.

Sovereign Debt Effects and Composition: Evidence from Time-Varying Estimates

ISEG Economics Department Working Paper No. WP 03/2017/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 14 Posted: 20 Jan 2017
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and University of Lisbon
Downloads 90 (449,007)
Citation 3

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23.

Fiscal Volatility, Financial Crises and Growth

Downloads 90 (449,007)

Fiscal Volatility, Financial Crises and Growth

ISEG Economics Working Paper No. 06/2012/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 9 Posted: 23 Feb 2012
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and University of Lisbon
Downloads 90 (452,881)

Abstract:

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growth, fiscal volatility, crises, panel analysis

Fiscal Volatility, Financial Crises and Growth

Applied Economics Letters, Vol. 19, No. 18, 2012
Posted: 24 Jun 2012
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and University of Lisbon

Abstract:

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growth, fiscal volatility, crises, panel analysis

24.

A Narrative Database of Major Labor and Product Market Reforms in Advanced Economies

IMF Working Paper No. 18/19
Number of pages: 91 Posted: 08 Feb 2018 Last Revised: 18 Nov 2021
Romain Duval, Davide Furceri, Bingjie Hu, João Tovar Jalles and Huy Le Nguyen
International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF), World Bank, University of Lisbon and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 89 (452,063)
Citation 1

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Reform; Regulation; Product Market; Network Industries; Labor Market; Employment Protection; Unemployment insurance, Reform, Regulation, Product Market, Network Industries, Labor Market, Employment Protection, Unemployment insurance, Legal Monopolies and Regulation or Deregulation, Economics of Regulation, Institutions and Growth

25.

Linking Investment and Fiscal Policies

Technical University of Lisbon – ISEG, Working Paper No. 16/2011/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 18 Sep 2011
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and University of Lisbon
Downloads 83 (471,795)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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budgetary decomposition, panel analysis, causality, non-linearities, fiscal-rules

26.

An Apocalypse Foretold: Climate Shocks and Sovereign Defaults

IMF Working Paper No. 20/231
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 05 Jan 2021
Serhan Cevik and João Tovar Jalles
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and University of Lisbon
Downloads 74 (504,164)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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27.

A Longer-Run Perspective on Fiscal Sustainability

ISEG Working Paper No. 17
Number of pages: 30 Posted: 18 Sep 2011
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and University of Lisbon
Downloads 72 (511,828)
Citation 3

Abstract:

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fiscal sustainability, government debt, unit roots, breaks, structural time series

28.

Slow Recovery to Nowhere? A Sectoral View of Labor Markets in Advanced Economies

World Economic Outlook, September 2011
Number of pages: 9 Posted: 24 Dec 2011
Prakash Loungani, Su Wang, Laura Feiveson and João Tovar Jalles
International Monetary Fund (IMF), Department of Economics, M.I.T., Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and University of Lisbon
Downloads 70 (519,696)

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employment, productivity, middle-income jobs, inequality

29.

Sovereign Ratings and Finance Ministers’ Characteristics

REM Working Paper 072-2019
Number of pages: 15 Posted: 09 Mar 2019
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and University of Lisbon
Downloads 68 (527,744)

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sovereign ratings, ordered probit, sovereign debt, panel data, principal components

30.

Do Fiscal Rules Lower Government Financing Costs?

REM Working Paper 015-2017
Number of pages: 22 Posted: 29 Nov 2017
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and University of Lisbon
Downloads 63 (549,074)

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fiscal rules, sovereign yields, financing costs, impulse response functions, local projection

31.

Measuring the Success of Fiscal Consolidations

Downloads 62 (553,417)

Measuring the Success of Fiscal Consolidations

ISEG-UTL Economics Working Paper No. 22/2011/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 12 Posted: 06 Nov 2011
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and University of Lisbon
Downloads 62 (562,165)

Abstract:

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fiscal episodes, panel data, logit

Measuring the Success of Fiscal Consolidations

Applied Financial Economics, Vol. 22, No. 13, 2012
Posted: 24 Jun 2012
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and University of Lisbon

Abstract:

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fiscal episodes, panel data, logit

32.

Do Financial Markets Reward Government Spending Efficiency?

REM Working Paper 0166-2021
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 23 Mar 2021
António Afonso, João Tovar Jalles and Ana Venâncio
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management), University of Lisbon and ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa
Downloads 61 (557,972)

Abstract:

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government spending efficiency, DEA, panel analysis, ordered probit (logit); sovereign ratings, rating agencies

33.

Economic Volatility and Sovereign Yields' Determinants: A Time-Varying Approach

ISEG Economics Department Working Paper No. WP 04/2016/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 08 Jan 2016
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and University of Lisbon
Downloads 60 (562,471)

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volatility, fiscal policy, bond spreads, weighted least squares, time-varying coefficients

34.

Euro Area Time Varying Fiscal Sustainability

ISEG Economics Department Working Paper No. WP 13/2015/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 19 Posted: 22 Sep 2015
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and University of Lisbon
Downloads 60 (562,471)
Citation 1

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fiscal sustainability, causality, impulse response functions, time-varying coefficients, fiscal rules, logistic model

35.

Assessing Fiscal Episodes

ISEG Working Paper No. 15/2011/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 17 Sep 2011
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and University of Lisbon
Downloads 52 (601,214)
Citation 1

Abstract:

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fiscal consolidation, non-Keynesian effects, panel data, logit

36.

The Fiscal Consequences of Deflation: Evidence from the Golden Age of Globalization

ISEG Economics Department Working Paper No. WP 23/2016/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 14 Oct 2016
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and University of Lisbon
Downloads 51 (606,385)
Citation 1

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debt, deflation, local projection, impulse response functions, GMM, recessions, expansions

37.

Structural Tax Reforms and Public Spending Efficiency

REM Working Paper 0146-2020
Number of pages: 47 Posted: 02 Dec 2020
António Afonso, João Tovar Jalles and Ana Venâncio
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management), University of Lisbon and ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa
Downloads 49 (616,791)
Citation 3

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government spending efficiency; tax reforms; data envelopment analysis; non-parametric estimation; panel data; political economy

38.

Shifting the Beveridge Curve: What Affects Labor Market Matching?

IMF Working Paper No. 16/93
Number of pages: 34 Posted: 09 Dec 2016
Elva Bova, João Tovar Jalles and Christina Elisabeth Kolerus
Independent, University of Lisbon and International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department
Downloads 49 (616,791)
Citation 1

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Labor markets, Labor supply, Labor demand, Unemployment, Labor market characteristics, Econometric models, Time series, vacancies, unemployment, employment protection legislation, cointegration, breaks, probit

39.

The Fiscal-Growth Nexus

Technical University of Lisbon Department of Economics Working Paper No. 01/2012/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 13 Feb 2012
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and University of Lisbon
Downloads 48 (622,197)

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budgetary decomposition, crises, panel analysis

40.

Fiscal Reaction Functions Across the World: A Battle of Statistical (In-)Significance

REM Working Paper 016-2017
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 29 Nov 2017
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and University of Lisbon
Downloads 47 (627,623)

Abstract:

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fiscal regimes, FTPL, panel data, panel VAR, panel stationarity, cross-sectional dependence, global financial crisis

41.

Fiscal Activism and Price Volatility: Evidence from Advanced and Emerging Economies

ISEG Economics Department Working Paper No. WP 04/2017/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 25 Posted: 23 Jan 2017
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and University of Lisbon
Downloads 47 (627,623)

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volatility, fiscal policy, inflation, GARCH, Consensus Forecasts

42.

For Whom the Bell Tolls: Climate Change and Inequality

IMF Working Paper No. 2022/103
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 07 Jun 2022
Serhan Cevik and João Tovar Jalles
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and University of Lisbon
Downloads 45 (638,656)

Abstract:

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43.

Minimum Wage and Collective Bargaining Reforms: A Narrative Database for Advance Economies

CESifo Working Paper No. 9692
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 20 Apr 2022
António Afonso, João Tovar Jalles and Zoe Venter
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management), University of Lisbon and Católica-Lisbon SBE
Downloads 42 (656,038)

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labour market policies, minimum wage, collective bargaining, labour productivity, growth, local projection

44.

Decoupling of Emissions and GDP: Evidence from Aggregate and Provincial Chinese Data

IMF Working Paper No. 18/85
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 22 May 2018
Gail Cohen, João Tovar Jalles, Prakash Loungani, Ricardo Marto and Gewei Wang
The National Academies - National Academy of Sciences (NAS), University of Lisbon, International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF) and University of Nottingham
Downloads 39 (674,244)

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Greenhouse gas emissions, Gross domestic product, China, Emissions, Environmental Okun's Law, Kuznets Curve, China, Provinces

45.

Fiscal Stabilization and Growth: Evidence from Industry-Level Data for Advanced and Developing Economies

IMF Working Paper No. 17/198
Number of pages: 49 Posted: 21 Mar 2018
Sangyup Choi, Davide Furceri and João Tovar Jalles
Yonsei University, International Monetary Fund (IMF) and University of Lisbon
Downloads 39 (674,244)

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Financial data, Fiscal stabilization, Fiscal stabilization, Total factor productivity, Fiscal policy, Developed countries, Developing countries, Economic growth, industry-level data, time varying coefficients, growth, technologies of production, General

46.

Economic Growth after Debt Surges

IMF Working Paper No. 2022/159
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 10 Aug 2022
João Tovar Jalles and Paulo A. Medas
University of Lisbon and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 38 (680,520)

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Public debt, private debt, economic growth, potential GDP, investment, panel data, local projection, nonlinearities

47.

Globalization, Democracy and Development

NBER Working Paper No. w19575
Number of pages: 26 Posted: 25 Oct 2013 Last Revised: 28 Dec 2022
Jorge Braga de Macedo, Luis Brites Pereira, Joaquim Oliveira Martins and João Tovar Jalles
Nova School of Business and Economics, Nova School of Business and Economics, CEPII, Paris and University of Lisbon
Downloads 37 (686,875)

Abstract:

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48.

Markups’ Cyclical Behavior: The Role of Demand and Supply Shocks

ISEG Economics Department Working Paper No. WP08/2015/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 9 Posted: 08 May 2015
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and University of Lisbon
Downloads 36 (693,367)

Abstract:

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Blanchard-Quah, mark-up, VAR, impulse response function, local projection

49.

Structural Reforms and Income Distribution: New Evidence for OECD Countries

CESifo Working Paper No. 10214
Number of pages: 57 Posted: 25 Jan 2023
Rasmus Wiese, João Tovar Jalles, Jakob de Haan and Jakob de Haan
University of Groningen, University of Lisbon and University of Groningen - Faculty of Economics and BusinessDe Nederlandsche Bank
Downloads 34 (706,613)

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structural reforms, income distribution, local projections, nonlinearities

50.

The Cyclicality of Education, Health, and Social Security Government Spending

ISEG Economics Working Paper No. 30/2012/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 7 Posted: 25 Nov 2012
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and University of Lisbon
Downloads 34 (706,613)

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business cycle, output gap, functional spending, panel analysis

51.

Labor and Product Market Reforms and External Imbalances: Evidence from Advanced Economies

IMF Working Paper No. 2021/054
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 26 May 2021
Romain Duval, Davide Furceri and João Tovar Jalles
International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF) and University of Lisbon
Downloads 33 (713,349)

Abstract:

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52.

Stock Flow Adjustments in Sovereign Debt Dynamics: The Role of Fiscal Frameworks

REM Working Paper 066-2019
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 04 Feb 2019
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and University of Lisbon
Downloads 33 (713,349)

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Government Debt, Budget Deficit, Structural Deficit, Intertemporal Government Budget Constraint, Fiscal Rules, Panel Data, System GMM, Filtering

53.

Fiscal Episodes, Technological Progress and Market Power

ISEG Economics Department Working Paper No. WP09/2015/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 26 Posted: 16 Jul 2015
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and University of Lisbon
Downloads 33 (713,349)

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imperfect competition, TFP, fiscal consolidation, local projection, business cycle, impulse response functions, GMM

54.

(Non-)Keynesian Effects of Fiscal Austerity: New Evidence from a Large Sample

REM Working Paper 0158-2021
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 18 Feb 2021
António Afonso, José Alves, José Alves and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management), Technical University of Lisbon (UTL) - Department of EconomicsUECE - Research Unit on Complexity in Economics and University of Lisbon
Downloads 31 (727,457)

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non-Keynesian effects, fiscal consolidation, filtering, consumption, investment, financial crises, panel data, endogeneity

55.

Decomposing and Analysing the Determinants of Current Accounts’ Cyclicality: Evidence from the Euro Area

REM Working Paper 042-2018
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 14 Jul 2018
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and University of Lisbon
Downloads 30 (734,623)
Citation 1

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56.

A Tale of Government Spending Efficiency and Trust in the State

CESifo Working Paper No. 10075
Number of pages: 34 Posted: 18 Nov 2022
António Afonso, João Tovar Jalles and Ana Venâncio
ISEG, Universidade de Lisboa, University of Lisbon and ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa
Downloads 29 (741,944)

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government spending efficiency, DEA, panel data analysis, confidence effects, ideology, fiscal rules

57.

Budgetary Decomposition and Yield Spreads

ISEG Economics Department Working Paper No. WP 05/2016/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 10 Posted: 08 Jan 2016
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and University of Lisbon
Downloads 29 (741,944)

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fiscal components, bond yields, Great Recession, PVAR, impulse responses

58.

International Transmission of Interest Rates: The Role of International Reserves and Sovereign Debt

REM Working Paper 0156-2021
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 18 Feb 2021
António Afonso, Florence Huart, João Tovar Jalles and Piotr Leszek Stanek
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management), Université de Lille, LEM - CNRS (UMR 9221), University of Lisbon and Cracow University of Economics
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interest rates, international reserves, government debt, spillover effects, monetary policy, fiscal policy, panel analysis

59.

The Price Relevance of Fiscal Developments

ISEG Economics Department Working Paper No. WP 16/2015/DE/UECE
Number of pages: 18 Posted: 25 Nov 2015
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and University of Lisbon
Downloads 27 (756,754)
Citation 1

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price level, yields, Ricardian regimes, SURE, local projection, impulse response function

60.

Revisiting the Countercyclicality of Fiscal Policy

IMF Working Paper No. 2023/089
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 22 May 2023
João Tovar Jalles, Youssouf Kiendrebeogo, Raphael Lam and Roberto Piazza
University of Lisbon, International Monetary Fund (IMF), International Monetary Fund (IMF) and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
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Countercyclical fiscal policy, automatic stabilizers, discretionary ficsal policy, fiscal multipliers, stabilization coefficients, local projection, Countercyclicality of fiscal policy, countercyclicality of fiscal policies, Countercyclicality coefficient, novel dataset, fiscal counter-cyclicality, government size, Fiscal stabilization, Emerging and frontier financial markets, Global

61.

Eye of the Storm: The Impact of Climate Shocks on Inflation and Growth

IMF Working Paper No. 2023/087
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 22 May 2023
Serhan Cevik and João Tovar Jalles
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and University of Lisbon
Downloads 23 (796,214)

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Climate change, natural disasters, inflation, growth, local projections, panel data, growth dynamics, influence inflation, impact of climate, food inflation, climate-economy nexus, Fiscal space, Global

62.

Sovereign Indebtedness and Financial and Fiscal Conditions

REM Working Paper 111-2019
Number of pages: 10 Posted: 09 Jan 2020
António Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management) and University of Lisbon
Downloads 20 (812,953)

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sovereign indebtedness, panel data, financial stress, global financial crisis, emerging markets

63.

Globalization, Freedoms and Economic Convergence: An Empirical Exploration of A Trivariate Relationship Using A Large Panel

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Globalization, Freedoms and Economic Convergence: An Empirical Exploration of A Trivariate Relationship Using A Large Panel

https://doi.org/10.1007/s10368-021-00512-7
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 06 Oct 2022
Jorge Braga de Macedo, Joaquim Oliveira Martins and João Tovar Jalles
Nova School of Business and Economics, CEPII, Paris and University of Lisbon
Downloads 5 (982,371)

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Globalization, democracy, freedoms, development, convergence

64.

Government Spending and Tax Revenue Decentralization and Public Sector Efficiency: Do Natural Disasters Matter?

CESifo Working Paper No. 10424
Number of pages: 43 Posted: 23 May 2023
António Afonso, João Tovar Jalles and Ana Venâncio
ISEG, Universidade de Lisboa, University of Lisbon and ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa
Downloads 4 (953,078)

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public sector efficiency, data envelopment analysis, local projections, revenue decentralization, spending decentralization, natural disasters, OECD

65.

Government Spending and Tax Revenue Decentralization and Public Sector Efficiency: Do Natural Disasters Matter?

REM WP 0271-2023
Number of pages: 43 Posted: 13 May 2023
António Afonso, João Tovar Jalles and Ana Venâncio
University of Lisbon - ISEG (School of Economics and Management), University of Lisbon and ISEG Lisbon School of Economics and Management,Universidade de Lisboa
Downloads 3 (960,176)

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public sector efficiency; data envelopment analysis; local projections; revenue decentralization; spending decentralization; natural disasters; OECD

66.

Like Father Like Sons? The Cost of Sovereign Defaults in Reduced Credit to the Private Sector

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP9303
Number of pages: 67 Posted: 01 Feb 2013
Rui Esteves and João Tovar Jalles
Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies (IHEID) and University of Lisbon
Downloads 1 (973,859)
Citation 5
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Credit Rationing, Foreign Investment, Pre-1914, Sovereign Default