Sandstrasse 9
Munich, Bavaria 80337
Germany
http://www.andreas-graefe.org
Macromedia University of Applied Sciences
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election forecasting, combining, prediction markets, polls, econometric models, expert judgment
elections, forecast, Obama, biography, index method
forecasting, principles
combining forecasts, Iowa Electronic Markets, election forecasting, forecast accuracy, econometric models, FiveThirtyEight
forecasting, prediction, projection, prognosis, principles
analytics, bias, big data, causality, checklists, combining, elections, index method, judgmental bootstrapping, structured analogies, uncertainty
index method, unit weighting, experience table, presidential election, accuracy
election forecasting, Big Five, forecast accuracy, presidential elections, personality perceptions
Political economy models, forecasting, model accuracy, voter perceptions, issue ownership
combining forecasts, equal weights, election forecasting
combining forecasts, forecast accuracy, Iowa Electronic Markets, FiveThirtyEight, econometric models, election forecasting
equal weights, index method, econometric models, presidential election forecasting, Moral Algebra
econometric model, election forecasts, forecast accuracy, index model, political forecasting political marketing, unit-weighting
Election forecasting, combining forecasts, PollyVote, accuracy
Econometrics, election forecasting, equalizing, equal weights, index method, political economy models, regression
advertising, combining forecasts, copy testing, expertise, intentions, judgmental forecasting
cost benefit analysis, index method, legal damage claims, precautionary principle, principal components, take-the-best
PollyVote, 2016 Presidential Election, Forecast
advertising effectiveness, combining forecasts, creativity, index method, profitability, variable weighting
poll uncertainty, total survey error, sampling error, poll coverage, election forecasts
combining forecasts, damping, equalizing, elections, golden rule of forecasting, index method, shrinkage
econometric model, forecasting, elections
forecasting, combining, polls, betting markets, citizen forecasts, models
bio-index, forecasting, index methods, index models
forecast accuracy, group decision-making, method comparison, satisfaction, combining
