Kenneth Rogoff

Harvard University - Department of Economics

Professor

Littauer Center

Room 232

Cambridge, MA 02138

United States

National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

1050 Massachusetts Avenue

Cambridge, MA 02138

United States

  • Harvard University - Department of Economics

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SCHOLARLY PAPERS

81

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Scholarly Papers (81)

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1.

The Aftermath of Financial Crises

Downloads 1,134 ( 16,553)
Citation 99

The Aftermath of Financial Crises

NBER Working Paper No. w14656
Number of pages: 14 Posted: 19 Jan 2009 Last Revised: 20 Jul 2010
Carmen M. Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff
Peter G. Peterson Institute for International Economics and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 1,119 (16,559)
Citation 99

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The Aftermath of Financial Crises

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP7209
Number of pages: 16 Posted: 07 Apr 2009
Carmen M. Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff
Peter G. Peterson Institute for International Economics and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 15 (538,258)
Citation 99
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duration, financial crisies, real estate, unemployment

2.

Is the 2007 U.S. Sub-Prime Financial Crisis so Different? an International Historical Comparison

NBER Working Paper No. w13761
Number of pages: 15 Posted: 30 Jan 2008 Last Revised: 09 Aug 2010
Carmen M. Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff
Peter G. Peterson Institute for International Economics and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 1,027 (19,140)
Citation 72

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3.

Can Exchange Rates Forecast Commodity Prices?

Economic Research Initiatives at Duke (ERID) Working Paper No. 1
Number of pages: 49 Posted: 28 Jul 2008 Last Revised: 06 May 2010
Yu-Chin Chen, Kenneth Rogoff and Barbara Rossi
University of Washington - Department of Economics, Harvard University - Department of Economics and Universitat Pompeu Fabra - Centre de Recerca en Economia Internacional (CREI)
Downloads 984 (20,457)
Citation 23

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Exchange rates, forecasting, commodity prices, random walk

4.

Financial Globalization: A Reappraisal

Downloads 955 ( 21,417)
Citation 156

Financial Globalization: A Reappraisal

IMF Working Paper No. 06/189
Number of pages: 94 Posted: 03 Oct 2006
M. Ayhan Kose, Eswar S. Prasad, Kenneth Rogoff and Shang-Jin Wei
Development Prospects Group at the World Bank, Cornell University - Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management, Harvard University - Department of Economics and Columbia Business School - Finance and Economics
Downloads 866 (24,275)
Citation 156

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Capital Account Liberalization, Financial Integration, Growth and Volatility, Financial Crises, Developing Countries

Financial Globalization: A Reappraisal

NBER Working Paper No. w12484
Number of pages: 91 Posted: 30 Aug 2006 Last Revised: 13 Aug 2010
M. Ayhan Kose, Eswar S. Prasad, Kenneth Rogoff and Shang-Jin Wei
Development Prospects Group at the World Bank, Cornell University - Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management, Harvard University - Department of Economics and Columbia Business School - Finance and Economics
Downloads 56 (351,596)
Citation 156

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Financial Globalization: A Reappraisal

CEPR Discussion Paper No. 5842
Number of pages: 93 Posted: 16 Nov 2006
M. Ayhan Kose, Eswar S. Prasad, Kenneth Rogoff and Shang-Jin Wei
Development Prospects Group at the World Bank, Cornell University - Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management, Harvard University - Department of Economics and Columbia Business School - Finance and Economics
Downloads 33 (436,659)
Citation 156
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Capital account liberalization, financial integration, growth and volatility, financial crises, developing countries

5.

Dornbusch's Overshooting Model after Twenty-Five Years

IMF Working Paper No. 02/39
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 30 Jan 2006
Kenneth Rogoff
Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 948 (21,659)
Citation 8

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Overshooting, exchange rates

6.

This Time is Different: A Panoramic View of Eight Centuries of Financial Crises

NBER Working Paper No. w13882
Number of pages: 125 Posted: 19 Mar 2008 Last Revised: 18 Nov 2008
Carmen M. Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff
Peter G. Peterson Institute for International Economics and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 839 (25,837)
Citation 69

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7.

Can Oil Prices Forecast Exchange Rates?

Economic Research Initiatives at Duke Working Paper No. 95
Number of pages: 54 Posted: 12 May 2011
Domenico Ferraro, Barbara Rossi and Kenneth Rogoff
affiliation not provided to SSRN, Universitat Pompeu Fabra - Centre de Recerca en Economia Internacional (CREI) and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 788 (28,250)
Citation 8

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8.

The Unsustainable Us Current Account Position Revisited

NBER Working Paper No. w10869
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 28 Oct 2004 Last Revised: 14 Sep 2010
Maurice Obstfeld and Kenneth Rogoff
University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 692 (33,681)
Citation 124

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9.

Exchange Rate Volatility and Productivity Growth: The Role of Financial Development

Downloads 647 ( 36,874)
Citation 64

Exchange Rate Volatility and Productivity Growth: The Role of Financial Development

Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper No. 06-16
Number of pages: 55 Posted: 06 Oct 2006
Philippe Aghion, Philippe Bacchetta, Romain G. Rancière and Kenneth Rogoff
College de France and London School of Economics and Political Science, Fellow, University of Lausanne, Paris School of Economics (PSE) and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 580 (42,064)
Citation 64

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exchange rate regime, financial development, growth

Exchange Rate Volatility and Productivity Growth: The Role of Financial Development

NBER Working Paper No. w12117
Number of pages: 48 Posted: 15 May 2006 Last Revised: 12 Aug 2010
Philippe Aghion, Philippe Bacchetta, Romain G. Rancière and Kenneth Rogoff
College de France and London School of Economics and Political Science, Fellow, University of Lausanne, Paris School of Economics (PSE) and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 36 (423,736)
Citation 61

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Exchange Rate Volatility and Productivity Growth: The Role of Financial Development

CEPR Discussion Paper No. 5629
Number of pages: 50 Posted: 18 Jul 2006
Philippe Aghion, Philippe Bacchetta, Romain G. Rancière and Kenneth Rogoff
College de France and London School of Economics and Political Science, Fellow, University of Lausanne, Paris School of Economics (PSE) and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 31 (445,824)
Citation 64
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Exchange rate regime, financial development, growth

10.

Debt Overhangs: Past and Present

NBER Working Paper No. w18015
Number of pages: 29 Posted: 28 Apr 2012
Carmen M. Reinhart, Vincent R. Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff
Peter G. Peterson Institute for International Economics, American Enterprise Institute (AEI) and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 645 (37,023)
Citation 4

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11.

Financial Globalization and Economic Policies

Downloads 624 ( 38,705)
Citation 22

Financial Globalization and Economic Policies

IZA Discussion Paper No. 4037
Number of pages: 84 Posted: 02 Mar 2009
M. Ayhan Kose, Eswar S. Prasad, Kenneth Rogoff and Shang-Jin Wei
Development Prospects Group at the World Bank, Cornell University - Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management, Harvard University - Department of Economics and Columbia Business School - Finance and Economics
Downloads 362 (75,555)
Citation 22

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financial globalization, emerging markets, capital flows, capital account liberalization

Financial Globalization and Economic Policies

Brookings Global Economy and Development Working Paper No. 34
Number of pages: 80 Posted: 24 Apr 2009
Eswar S. Prasad, Kenneth Rogoff, M. Ayhan Kose and Shang-Jin Wei
Cornell University - Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management, Harvard University - Department of Economics, Development Prospects Group at the World Bank and Columbia Business School - Finance and Economics
Downloads 251 (113,292)
Citation 22

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development, developing countries, global economics, global economic crisis

Financial Globalization and Economic Policies

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP7117
Number of pages: 85 Posted: 18 Feb 2009
M. Ayhan Kose, Eswar S. Prasad, Kenneth Rogoff and Shang-Jin Wei
Development Prospects Group at the World Bank, Cornell University - Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management, Harvard University - Department of Economics and Columbia Business School - Finance and Economics
Downloads 11 (563,133)
Citation 22
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capital account liberalization, financial globalization

12.

The Six Major Puzzles in International Macroeconomics: Is There a Common Cause?

NBER Working Paper No. w7777
Number of pages: 66 Posted: 19 Jul 2000 Last Revised: 25 Jun 2001
Maurice Obstfeld and Kenneth Rogoff
University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 603 (40,466)
Citation 434

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13.

Secular Stagnation, Debt Overhang and Other Rationales for Sluggish Growth, Six Years On

BIS Working Paper No. 482
Number of pages: 31 Posted: 22 Jan 2015
Stephanie Lo and Kenneth Rogoff
Harvard University and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 599 (40,859)

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secular stagnation, debt overhang, deleveraging

14.

Three Challenges Facing Modern Macroeconomics

American Economic Association, Ten Years and Beyond: Economists Answer NSF's Call for Long-Term Research Agendas
Number of pages: 5 Posted: 12 Aug 2011
Kenneth Rogoff
Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 541 (46,593)

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15.

Predicting Agri-Commodity Prices: An Asset Pricing Approach

Number of pages: 45 Posted: 28 May 2010
Yu-Chin Chen, Kenneth Rogoff and Barbara Rossi
University of Washington - Department of Economics, Harvard University - Department of Economics and Universitat Pompeu Fabra - Centre de Recerca en Economia Internacional (CREI)
Downloads 500 (51,540)

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ommodity prices, exchange rates, equity prices, forecasting

16.

Growth in a Time of Debt

Downloads 407 ( 66,389)
Citation 60

Growth in a Time of Debt

NBER Working Paper No. w15639
Number of pages: 26 Posted: 13 Jan 2010 Last Revised: 29 Nov 2010
Carmen M. Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff
Peter G. Peterson Institute for International Economics and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 392 (68,771)
Citation 60

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Growth in a Time of Debt

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP7661
Number of pages: 28 Posted: 08 Feb 2010
Carmen M. Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff
Peter G. Peterson Institute for International Economics and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 15 (538,258)
Citation 60
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external debt, government debt, growth, history, inflation

17.

Banking Crises: An Equal Opportunity Menace

Downloads 359 ( 76,917)
Citation 58

Banking Crises: An Equal Opportunity Menace

NBER Working Paper No. w14587
Number of pages: 82 Posted: 29 Dec 2008 Last Revised: 23 Jan 2009
Carmen M. Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff
Peter G. Peterson Institute for International Economics and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 348 (79,040)
Citation 58

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Banking Crises: An Equal Opportunity Menace

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP7131
Number of pages: 67 Posted: 18 Feb 2009
Carmen M. Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff
Peter G. Peterson Institute for International Economics and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 11 (563,133)
Citation 58
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bail out, banking, crisis, debt, equity prices, house prices

18.

From Financial Crash to Debt Crisis

NBER Working Paper No. w15795
Number of pages: 48 Posted: 08 Mar 2010 Last Revised: 30 Aug 2010
Carmen M. Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff
Peter G. Peterson Institute for International Economics and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 337 (82,734)
Citation 55

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19.

The Law of One Price Over 700 Years

Downloads 322 ( 87,073)
Citation 33

The Law of One Price Over 700 Years

IMF Working Paper No. 01/174
Number of pages: 43 Posted: 03 Feb 2006
Kenneth Rogoff and Kenneth Froot
Harvard University - Department of Economics and National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
Downloads 238 (119,648)
Citation 32

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purchasing power parity exchange rates

The Law of One Price Over 700 Years

NBER Working Paper No. w5132
Number of pages: 73 Posted: 14 Jun 2000 Last Revised: 19 Aug 2010
Kenneth Froot, Michael Kim and Kenneth Rogoff
National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), Pennsylvania State University, College of the Liberal Arts - Department of Economic and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 84 (280,689)
Citation 33

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The Law of One Price Over 700 Years

Posted: 24 Aug 1998
Kenneth Froot, Michael Kim and Kenneth Rogoff
National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), Pennsylvania State University, College of the Liberal Arts - Department of Economic and Harvard University - Department of Economics

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20.

Evolution and Performance of Exchange Rate Regimes

IMF Working Paper No. 03/243
Number of pages: 84 Posted: 15 Feb 2006
Kenneth Rogoff, Aasim Husain, Ashoka Mody, Robin Brooks and Nienke Oomes
Harvard University - Department of Economics, International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department, International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department, International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Financial Studies Division and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Downloads 308 (91,451)
Citation 40

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Exchange rate regimes economic performance

21.

FDI to Africa: The Role of Price Stability and Currency Instability

IMF Working Paper No. 03/10
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 27 Jan 2006
Kenneth Rogoff and Carmen M. Reinhart
Harvard University - Department of Economics and Peter G. Peterson Institute for International Economics
Downloads 292 (96,996)
Citation 10

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Parallel markets, inflation, capital controls, conflict

22.

Perspectives on PPP and Long-Run Real Exchange Rates

NBER Working Paper No. w4952
Number of pages: 57 Posted: 19 Jul 2000 Last Revised: 29 Jul 2010
Kenneth Froot and Kenneth Rogoff
National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 273 (104,206)
Citation 199

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23.

Dealing with Debt

HKS Working Paper No. RWP15-009
Number of pages: 57 Posted: 14 Mar 2015
Carmen Reinhart, Vincent R. Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff
Harvard University, Harvard Kennedy School (HKS), Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs (BCSIA), American Enterprise Institute (AEI) and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 270 (105,394)

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public debt, debt reversals, restructuring, financial repression, inflation, wealth taxes, privatization

24.

Commodity Currencies and Empirical Exchange Rate Puzzles

IMF Working Paper No. 02/27
Number of pages: 47 Posted: 29 Jan 2006
Yu-Chin Chen and Kenneth Rogoff
Harvard University and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 265 (107,523)
Citation 17

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Exchange rate, commodity price stocks, capital flows

25.

A Decade of Debt

Downloads 252 (113,316)
Citation 6

A Decade of Debt

NBER Working Paper No. w16827
Number of pages: 49 Posted: 28 Feb 2011
Carmen M. Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff
Peter G. Peterson Institute for International Economics and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 241 (118,150)
Citation 6

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A Decade of Debt

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP8310
Number of pages: 51 Posted: 18 Apr 2011
Carmen M. Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff
Peter G. Peterson Institute for International Economics and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 11 (563,133)
Citation 6
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crisis, debt, default, financial repression, growth

26.

Debt Intolerance

NBER Working Paper No. w9908
Number of pages: 77 Posted: 19 Aug 2003 Last Revised: 04 Nov 2010
Carmen M. Reinhart, Kenneth Rogoff and Miguel A. Savastano
Peter G. Peterson Institute for International Economics, Harvard University - Department of Economics and Monetary and Capital Markets Departrment
Downloads 248 (115,177)
Citation 194

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27.

Financial and Sovereign Debt Crises: Some Lessons Learned and Those Forgotten

Downloads 247 (115,703)
Citation 2

Financial and Sovereign Debt Crises: Some Lessons Learned and Those Forgotten

IMF Working Paper No. 13/266
Number of pages: 22 Posted: 29 Jan 2014
Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff
Harvard University, Harvard Kennedy School (HKS), Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs (BCSIA) and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 240 (118,661)
Citation 2

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Financial crisis, Sovereign debt, Debt conversion, Debt restructuring, External debt, Public debt, Inflation, Economic growth, Developed countries, Emerging markets, Financial crises, sovereign debt crises, deleveraging, credit cycles, financial repression, domestic debt, government debt, debt overhang, debt reduction, sovereign default, debt forgiveness, debt overhangs, private debt, currency debt, debt crisis, sovereign defaults, private sector debt, public debt management, net debt, domestic currency, reserve bank, debt burdens, total external debt, debt default, debt relief, debt statistics, debt data, foreign debt, debt defaults, debt obligations, market debt, debt stocks, debt public,

Financial and Sovereign Debt Crises: Some Lessons Learned and Those Forgotten

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP9750
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 19 Nov 2013
Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff
Harvard University, Harvard Kennedy School (HKS), Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs (BCSIA) and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 7 (587,426)
Citation 2
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28.

Bankruptcy Procedures for Sovereigns: A History of Ideas, 1976-2001

IMF Working Paper No. 02/133
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 02 Feb 2006
Kenneth Rogoff and Jeromin Zettelmeyer
Harvard University - Department of Economics and Peter G. Peterson Institute for International Economics
Downloads 197 (144,078)
Citation 30

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sovereign bankruptcy, debt crises, international bankruptcy court, Chapter 11

29.

Exchange Rate Dynamics Redux

NBER Working Paper No. w4693
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 27 Aug 2000
Maurice Obstfeld and Kenneth Rogoff
University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 196 (144,743)
Citation 305

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30.

Global Imbalances and the Financial Crisis: Products of Common Causes

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP7606
Number of pages: 72 Posted: 11 Jan 2010
Maurice Obstfeld and Kenneth Rogoff
University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 185 (152,731)
Citation 45
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current account deficit, financial crisis, financial reform, global imbalances, housing bubble

31.

Risk and Exchange Rates

NBER Working Paper No. w6694
Number of pages: 49 Posted: 12 Nov 1998 Last Revised: 14 May 2000
Maurice Obstfeld and Kenneth Rogoff
University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 178 (158,099)
Citation 91

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32.

Early Ideas on Sovereign Bankruptcy Reorganization: A Survey

IMF Working Paper No. 02/57
Number of pages: 19 Posted: 09 Feb 2006
Kenneth Rogoff and Jeromin Zettelmeyer
Harvard University - Department of Economics and Peter G. Peterson Institute for International Economics
Downloads 173 (162,189)
Citation 6

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Sovereign Bankruptcy, Debt Crises, International Bankruptcy Court, Chapter 11

33.

The Forgotten History of Domestic Debt

Downloads 159 (174,463)
Citation 24

The Forgotten History of Domestic Debt

NBER Working Paper No. w13946
Number of pages: 50 Posted: 23 Apr 2008 Last Revised: 11 Aug 2010
Carmen M. Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff
Peter G. Peterson Institute for International Economics and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 156 (177,586)
Citation 24

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The Forgotten History of Domestic Debt

The Economic Journal, Vol. 121, Issue 552, pp. 319-350, 2011
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 20 May 2011
Carmen M. Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff
Peter G. Peterson Institute for International Economics and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 3 (613,183)
Citation 24
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34.

Addicted to Dollars

NBER Working Paper No. w10015
Number of pages: 67 Posted: 10 Oct 2003
Carmen M. Reinhart, Kenneth Rogoff and Miguel A. Savastano
Peter G. Peterson Institute for International Economics, Harvard University - Department of Economics and Monetary and Capital Markets Departrment
Downloads 133 (201,875)
Citation 40

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35.

Can Oil Prices Forecast Exchange Rates?

CAFE Research Paper No. 13.17
Number of pages: 65 Posted: 27 Aug 2013
Domenico Ferraro, Kenneth Rogoff and Barbara Rossi
Independent, Harvard University - Department of Economics and Universitat Pompeu Fabra - Centre de Recerca en Economia Internacional (CREI)
Downloads 131 (204,383)
Citation 8

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36.

The Modern History of Exchange Rate Arrangements: A Reinterpretation

NBER Working Paper No. w8963
Number of pages: 106 Posted: 30 May 2002 Last Revised: 27 Oct 2010
Carmen M. Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff
Peter G. Peterson Institute for International Economics and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 129 (206,925)
Citation 343

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37.

The Mirage of Fixed Exchange Rates

NBER Working Paper No. w5191
Number of pages: 46 Posted: 14 Jun 2000 Last Revised: 22 Sep 2010
Maurice Obstfeld and Kenneth Rogoff
University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 126 (210,703)
Citation 143

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38.

Capital Controls: Myth and Reality - A Portfolio Balance Approach

Downloads 122 (215,883)
Citation 11

Capital Controls: Myth and Reality - A Portfolio Balance Approach

Peterson Institute for International Economics Working Paper No. 2011-07
Number of pages: 47 Posted: 02 Mar 2011
Carmen M. Reinhart, Nicolás E. Magud and Kenneth Rogoff
Peter G. Peterson Institute for International Economics, International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 84 (280,689)
Citation 11

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Capital Controls

Capital Controls: Myth and Reality - a Portfolio Balance Approach

NBER Working Paper No. w16805
Number of pages: 49 Posted: 28 Feb 2011 Last Revised: 04 Mar 2011
Nicolás E. Magud, Carmen M. Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff
International Monetary Fund (IMF), Peter G. Peterson Institute for International Economics and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 38 (415,148)
Citation 11

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39.

International Institutions for Reducing Global Financial Instability

NBER Working Paper No. w7265
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 11 Feb 2000 Last Revised: 05 May 2000
Kenneth Rogoff
Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 118 (221,382)
Citation 66

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40.

Multilateral Developing-Country Debt Rescheduling Negotiations: A Bargaining-Theoretic Framework

IMF Working Paper No. 88/35
Number of pages: 16 Posted: 15 Feb 2006
Jeremy Bulow and Kenneth Rogoff
Stanford University and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 101 (247,204)
Citation 6

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41.

Can Oil Prices Forecast Exchange Rates?

FRB of Philadelphia Working Paper No. 11-34
Number of pages: 60 Posted: 29 Aug 2011
Domenico Ferraro, Kenneth Rogoff and Barbara Rossi
Independent, Harvard University - Department of Economics and Universitat Pompeu Fabra - Centre de Recerca en Economia Internacional (CREI)
Downloads 100 (248,914)
Citation 7

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42.

Three Epochs of Oil

NBER Working Paper No. w14927
Number of pages: 59 Posted: 03 May 2009 Last Revised: 06 May 2009
Eyal Dvir and Kenneth Rogoff
Charles River Associates (CRA) - Competition Practice and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 95 (257,459)
Citation 19

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43.

Can Oil Prices Forecast Exchange Rates?

Journal of International Money and Finance, Vol. 54, 2015
Number of pages: 65 Posted: 06 Oct 2016
Domenico Ferraro, Kenneth Rogoff and Barbara Rossi
Arizona State University (ASU) - Economics Department, Harvard University - Department of Economics and Universitat Pompeu Fabra - Centre de Recerca en Economia Internacional (CREI)
Downloads 92 (262,942)
Citation 8

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Exchange rates; Predictive ability; Out-of-sample fit

44.

Recovery from Financial Crises: Evidence from 100 Episodes

NBER Working Paper No. w19823
Number of pages: 16 Posted: 17 Jan 2014
Carmen Reinhart, Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff
Harvard University, Harvard University, Harvard Kennedy School (HKS), Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs (BCSIA) and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 83 (280,211)

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45.

Elections and Macroeconomic Policy Cycles

NBER Working Paper No. w1838
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 12 Apr 2004 Last Revised: 12 Jul 2010
Kenneth Rogoff and Anne Sibert
Harvard University - Department of Economics and Birkbeck, University of London
Downloads 79 (288,680)
Citation 141

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46.

Traded Goods Consumption Smoothing and the Random Walk Behavior of the Real Exchange Rate

NBER Working Paper No. w4119
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 27 Apr 2000 Last Revised: 04 Jan 2002
Kenneth Rogoff
Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 75 (297,580)
Citation 37

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47.

Can Exchange Rates Forecast Commodity Prices?

NBER Working Paper No. w13901
Number of pages: 49 Posted: 21 Mar 2008 Last Revised: 27 Jun 2010
Yu-Chin Chen, Kenneth Rogoff and Barbara Rossi
Harvard University, Harvard University - Department of Economics and Universitat Pompeu Fabra - Centre de Recerca en Economia Internacional (CREI)
Downloads 74 (299,887)
Citation 23

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48.

Sovereign Debt: is to Forgive to Forget?

NBER Working Paper No. w2623
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 04 Jul 2004 Last Revised: 07 Sep 2010
Jeremy Bulow and Kenneth Rogoff
Stanford University and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 74 (299,887)
Citation 155

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49.

Equilibrium Political Budget Cycles

NBER Working Paper No. w2428
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 06 Apr 2007 Last Revised: 22 Aug 2010
Kenneth Rogoff
Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 71 (306,936)
Citation 168

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50.

Financial Globalization, Growth and Volatility in Developing Countries

Downloads 70 (309,352)
Citation 24

Financial Globalization, Growth and Volatility in Developing Countries

CEPR Discussion Paper No. 4772
Number of pages: 70 Posted: 15 Feb 2005
Eswar S. Prasad, Kenneth Rogoff, Shang-Jin Wei and M. Ayhan Kose
Cornell University - Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management, Harvard University - Department of Economics, Columbia Business School - Finance and Economics and Development Prospects Group at the World Bank
Downloads 36 (423,736)
Citation 24
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Globalization, international financial linkages, macroeconomic volatility, growth

Financial Globalization, Growth and Volatility in Developing Countries

NBER Working Paper No. w10942
Number of pages: 69 Posted: 26 May 2012
Eswar S. Prasad, Kenneth Rogoff, Shang-Jin Wei and M. Ayhan Kose
Cornell University - Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management, Harvard University - Department of Economics, Columbia Business School - Finance and Economics and Development Prospects Group at the World Bank
Downloads 34 (432,297)
Citation 24

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51.

Reputational Constraints on Monetary Policy

NBER Working Paper No. w1986
Number of pages: 64 Posted: 14 Jan 2001 Last Revised: 11 Apr 2010
Kenneth Rogoff
Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 58 (340,570)
Citation 17

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52.

New Directions for Stochastic Open Economy Models

NBER Working Paper No. w7313
Number of pages: 48 Posted: 24 Feb 2000 Last Revised: 13 Oct 2010
Maurice Obstfeld and Kenneth Rogoff
University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 58 (340,570)
Citation 170

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53.

The Continuing Puzzle of Short Horizon Exchange Rate Forecasting

NBER Working Paper No. w14071
Number of pages: 41 Posted: 27 Jun 2008
Kenneth Rogoff and Vania Stavrakeva
Harvard University - Department of Economics and Harvard University
Downloads 57 (343,511)
Citation 22

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54.

The Unsustainable U.S. Current Account Position Revisited

CEPR Discussion Paper No. 5416
Number of pages: 54 Posted: 27 Mar 2006
Maurice Obstfeld and Kenneth Rogoff
University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and Harvard University - Department of Economics
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Citation 125
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External imbalance, net foreign assets, real exchange rate, sustainability, US current account deficit

55.

Exchange Rate Regime Durability and Performance in Developing Countries Versus Advanced Economies

NBER Working Paper No. w10673
Number of pages: 47 Posted: 02 Sep 2004 Last Revised: 01 Sep 2010
Aasim Husain, Ashoka Mody and Kenneth Rogoff
International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department, International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department and Harvard University - Department of Economics
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Citation 36

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56.

On Graduation from Default, Inflation and Banking Crisis: Elusive or Illusion?

NBER Working Paper No. w16168
Number of pages: 57 Posted: 12 Jul 2010 Last Revised: 01 Apr 2015
Rong Qian, Carmen M. Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff
affiliation not provided to SSRN, Peter G. Peterson Institute for International Economics and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 51 (361,828)
Citation 4

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57.

Was it Real? the Exchange Rate-Interest Differential Relation, 1973-1984

NBER Working Paper No. w1732
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 11 Feb 2001 Last Revised: 27 Sep 2010
Richard Meese and Kenneth Rogoff
National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 51 (361,828)
Citation 7

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58.

An Evaluation of World Bank Research, 1998 - 2005

Number of pages: 165 Posted: 12 Apr 2017
Abhijit V. Banerjee, Angus Deaton, Nora Lustig, Kenneth Rogoff and Edward Hsu
Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) - Department of Economics, Princeton University, Tulane University, Harvard University - Department of Economics and World Bank - International Finance Corporation (IFC)
Downloads 48 (371,345)
Citation 12

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59.

Costs and Benefits to Phasing Out Paper Currency

NBER Working Paper No. w20126
Number of pages: 17 Posted: 19 May 2014
Kenneth Rogoff
Harvard University - Department of Economics
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60.

Serial Default and the "Paradox" of Rich to Poor Capital Flows

NBER Working Paper No. w10296
Number of pages: 15 Posted: 12 Apr 2010 Last Revised: 05 Jan 2012
Carmen M. Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff
Peter G. Peterson Institute for International Economics and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 48 (371,345)
Citation 47

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61.

Sovereign Debt Restructurings: Panacea or Pangloss?

NBER Working Paper No. w2637
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 04 Jul 2004 Last Revised: 17 Sep 2010
Jeremy Bulow and Kenneth Rogoff
Stanford University and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 46 (377,976)
Citation 3

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62.

Global Versus Country-Specific Productivity Shocks and the Current Account

NBER Working Paper No. w4140
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 04 May 2007
Reuven Glick and Kenneth Rogoff
Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco - Center for Pacific Basin Monetary & Economic Studies and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 42 (391,777)
Citation 81

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63.

The Intertemporal Approach to the Current Account

NBER Working Paper No. w4893
Number of pages: 89 Posted: 17 May 2011
Maurice Obstfeld and Kenneth Rogoff
University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 40 (398,952)
Citation 90

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64.

Exchange Arrangements Entering the 21st Century: Which Anchor Will Hold?

NBER Working Paper No. w23134
Number of pages: 86 Posted: 07 Feb 2017
Ethan Ilzetzki, Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff
London School of Economics & Political Science (LSE) - Department of Economics, Harvard University and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 37 (410,424)
Citation 16

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65.

A Constant Recontracting Model of Sovereign Debt

NBER Working Paper No. w2088
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 19 Feb 2004 Last Revised: 17 Sep 2010
Jeremy Bulow and Kenneth Rogoff
Stanford University and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 36 (414,454)
Citation 166

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66.

Do We Really Need a New International Monetary Compact?

NBER Working Paper No. w7864
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 25 Aug 2000 Last Revised: 18 Oct 2010
Maurice Obstfeld and Kenneth Rogoff
University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 36 (414,454)
Citation 21

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67.

Speculative Hyperinflations in Maximizing Models: Can We Rule Them Out?

NBER Working Paper No. w0855
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 04 Jul 2004
Maurice Obstfeld and Kenneth Rogoff
University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 33 (426,461)
Citation 49

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68.

Ruling Out Nonstationary Speculative Bubbles

NBER Working Paper No. w1601
Number of pages: 26 Posted: 29 Jun 2004 Last Revised: 15 Sep 2008
Maurice Obstfeld and Kenneth Rogoff
University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 32 (430,666)
Citation 14

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69.

Sovereign Debt Repurchases: No Cure for Overhang

NBER Working Paper No. w2850
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 04 Jul 2004
Jeremy Bulow and Kenneth Rogoff
Stanford University and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 29 (443,993)
Citation 13

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70.

Developing Country Borrowing and Domestic Wealth

NBER Working Paper No. w2887
Number of pages: 34 Posted: 11 Apr 2004
Mark Gertler and Kenneth Rogoff
New York University - Leonard N. Stern School of Business - Department of Economics and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 29 (443,993)
Citation 2

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71.

Exchange Rate Dynamics with Sluggish Prices Under Alternative Price-Adjustment Rules

NBER Working Paper No. w1173
Number of pages: 29 Posted: 23 Apr 2004 Last Revised: 17 Sep 2010
Maurice Obstfeld and Kenneth Rogoff
University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 28 (448,713)
Citation 13

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72.

Global Implications of Self-Orientated National Monetary Rules

CEPR Discussion Paper No. 2856
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 17 Jul 2001
Maurice Obstfeld and Kenneth Rogoff
University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics and Harvard University - Department of Economics
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Citation 79
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International policy coordination, monetary policy rules, monetary institutions

73.

The EMS, the Emu, and the Transition to a Common Currency

NBER Working Paper No. w3684
Number of pages: 58 Posted: 07 Jul 2004 Last Revised: 28 Jul 2010
Kenneth Froot and Kenneth Rogoff
National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 22 (480,036)
Citation 45

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74.

Can Oil Prices Forecast Exchange Rates?

NBER Working Paper No. w17998
Number of pages: 64 Posted: 14 Apr 2012
Domenico Ferraro, Kenneth Rogoff and Barbara Rossi
Independent, Harvard University - Department of Economics and Universitat Pompeu Fabra - Centre de Recerca en Economia Internacional (CREI)
Downloads 18 (501,921)
Citation 8

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75.

The Country Chronologies to Exchange Rate Arrangements into the 21st Century: Will the Anchor Currency Hold?

NBER Working Paper No. w23135
Number of pages: 135 Posted: 07 Feb 2017
Ethan Ilzetzki, Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff
London School of Economics & Political Science (LSE) - Department of Economics, Harvard University and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 15 (518,403)
Citation 1

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76.

The Aftermath of Financial Crises

Number of pages: 14 Posted: 08 Dec 2016 Last Revised: 22 Dec 2016
Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff
Harvard University and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 14 (523,968)
Citation 98

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financial crisis, banking problems, housing prices, debt, growth, current account

77.

The Modern History of Exchange Rate Arrangements: A Reinterpretation

Number of pages: 45 Posted: 08 Dec 2016 Last Revised: 22 Dec 2016
Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff
Harvard University and Harvard University - Department of Economics
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Citation 342

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exchange rate regimes, crises, inflation, capital controls, parallel markets, Bretton Woods

78.

Shifting Mandates: The Federal Reserve's First Centennial

NBER Working Paper No. w18888
Number of pages: 15 Posted: 15 Mar 2013
Carmen Reinhart, Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff
Harvard University, Harvard University, Harvard Kennedy School (HKS), Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs (BCSIA) and Harvard University - Department of Economics
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79.

Can Oil Prices Forecast Exchange Rates?

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP8635
Number of pages: 62 Posted: 24 Nov 2011
Domenico Ferraro, Kenneth Rogoff and Barbara Rossi
Independent, Harvard University - Department of Economics and Universitat Pompeu Fabra - Centre de Recerca en Economia Internacional (CREI)
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Citation 8
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exchange rates

80.

Revisiting Speculative Hyperinflations in Monetary Models

CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP12051
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 22 May 2017
Maurice Obstfeld and Kenneth Rogoff
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Harvard University - Department of Economics
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Asset bubbles, Fiscal theory of the price level, Hyperinflation, money demand

81.

Productivity Growth and the Exchange Rate Regime: The Role of Financial Development

UPF Economics and Business Working Paper No. 850
Posted: 30 Nov 2005
Philippe Aghion, Philippe Bacchetta, Romain G. Rancière and Kenneth Rogoff
College de France and London School of Economics and Political Science, Fellow, University of Lausanne, Paris School of Economics (PSE) and Harvard University - Department of Economics

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Productivity growth; exchange rate