Bernd Schwaab

European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research

Kaiserstrasse 29

D-60311 Frankfurt am Main

Germany

  • European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

18

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CITATIONS
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22

Scholarly Papers (18)

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1.

Systemic Risk Diagnostics: Coincident Indicators and Early Warning Signals

Downloads 628 ( 38,403)
Citation 5

Systemic Risk Diagnostics: Coincident Indicators and Early Warning Signals

ECB Working Paper No. 1327
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 19 Apr 2011
Bernd Schwaab, Siem Jan Koopman and Andre Lucas
European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics and VU Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics
Downloads 439 (59,998)
Citation 5

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financial crisis, systemic risk, credit portfolio models, frailty-correlated defaults, state space methods

Systemic Risk Diagnostics: Coincident Indicators and Early Warning Signals

Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 10-104/DSF 2
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 03 Dec 2010
Bernd Schwaab, Siem Jan Koopman and Andre Lucas
European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics and VU Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics
Downloads 189 (149,725)
Citation 5

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financial crisis, systemic risk, credit portfolio models, frailty-correlated defaults, state space methods

2.

Assessing Asset Purchases within the ECB’s Securities Markets Programme

ECB Working Paper No. 1587
Number of pages: 38 Posted: 13 Sep 2013
Fabian Eser and Bernd Schwaab
European Central Bank (ECB) and European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research
Downloads 381 (71,786)

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Central bank asset purchases, European Central Bank, Securities Markets Programme, effectiveness of non-standard monetary policy measures

3.

Modeling Financial Sector Joint Tail Risk in the Euro Area

Downloads 336 ( 83,067)

Modeling Financial Sector Joint Tail Risk in the Euro Area

Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 13-063/IV/DSF56
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 18 May 2013 Last Revised: 13 Oct 2014
Andre Lucas, Bernd Schwaab and Xin Zhang
VU Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics, European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research and Sveriges Riksbank - Research Division
Downloads 306 (91,648)

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systemic risk; dynamic equicorrelation; generalized hyperbolic distribution; law of large numbers; large portfolio approximation.

Modeling Financial Sector Joint Tail Risk in the Euro Area

Riksbank Research Paper Series No. 132, Sveriges Riksbank Working Paper Series No. 308
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 22 Dec 2015
Andre Lucas, Bernd Schwaab and Xin Zhang
VU Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics, European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research and Sveriges Riksbank - Research Division
Downloads 16 (532,268)

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dynamic equicorrelation, generalized hyperbolic distribution, law of large numbers, large portfolio approximation

Modeling Financial Sector Joint Tail Risk in the Euro Area

ECB Working Paper No. 1837
Number of pages: 48 Posted: 26 Aug 2015
Andre Lucas, Bernd Schwaab and Xin Zhang
VU Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics, European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research and Sveriges Riksbank - Research Division
Downloads 14 (544,708)

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Dynamic panel data; Time-invariant variables; Two-stage estimation; System GMM; Dynamic gravity equation

4.

Conditional Probabilities for Euro Area Sovereign Default Risk

Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper No. 11-176/2/DSF29
Number of pages: 37 Posted: 14 Dec 2011 Last Revised: 29 Jun 2012
Andre Lucas, Bernd Schwaab and Xin Zhang
VU Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics, European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research and Sveriges Riksbank - Research Division
Downloads 264 (107,998)
Citation 2

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sovereign credit risk, higher order moments, time-varying parameters, financial stability

5.

Macro, Frailty, and Contagion Effects in Defaults: Lessons from the 2008 Credit Crisis

Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 10-004/2
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 27 Jan 2010 Last Revised: 05 Sep 2010
Siem Jan Koopman, Andre Lucas and Bernd Schwaab
Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics, VU Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics and European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research
Downloads 249 (114,787)
Citation 1

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financial crisis, default risk, credit portfolio models, frailty-correlated defaults, state space methods, doubly stochastic default times

6.

Bank to Sovereign Risk Spillovers Across Borders: Evidence from the ECB's Comprehensive Assessment

Downloads 238 (120,168)

Bank to Sovereign Risk Spillovers Across Borders: Evidence from the ECB's Comprehensive Assessment

Number of pages: 35 Posted: 29 May 2015 Last Revised: 27 Nov 2017
Johannes H. Breckenfelder and Bernd Schwaab
European Central Bank (ECB) - Financial Research and European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research
Downloads 237 (120,218)

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bank-sovereign nexus, risk spillovers, stress test, European Central Bank, Comprehensive Assessment

Bank to Sovereign Risk Spillovers Across Borders: Evidence from the ECB's Comprehensive Assessment

ECB Working Paper No. 2193
Number of pages: 46 Posted: 07 Nov 2018
Johannes H. Breckenfelder and Bernd Schwaab
European Central Bank (ECB) - Financial Research and European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research
Downloads 1 (636,559)

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bank-sovereign nexus, risk spillovers, stress test, European Central Bank, Comprehensive Assessment

7.

Modeling Frailty-Correlated Defaults Using Many Macroeconomic Covariates

Number of pages: 37 Posted: 12 Feb 2009 Last Revised: 29 Aug 2010
Siem Jan Koopman, Andre Lucas and Bernd Schwaab
Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics, VU Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics and European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research
Downloads 141 (192,787)
Citation 5

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Non-Gaussian Panel Data, Common Factors, Unobserved Components, Forecasting

8.

Forecasting Cross-Sections of Frailty-Correlated Default

Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper No. 08-029/4
Number of pages: 35 Posted: 25 Mar 2008
Siem Jan Koopman, Andre Lucas and Bernd Schwaab
Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics, VU Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics and European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research
Downloads 135 (199,637)
Citation 2

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Non-Gaussian Panel Data, Common Factors, Unobserved Components, Forecasting Conditional Default Probabilities

9.

Observation Driven Mixed-Measurement Dynamic Factor Models with an Application to Credit Risk

Downloads 130 (205,795)
Citation 3

Observation Driven Mixed-Measurement Dynamic Factor Models with an Application to Credit Risk

Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 11-042/DSF 16
Number of pages: 43 Posted: 22 Feb 2011
Drew Creal, Bernd Schwaab, Siem Jan Koopman and Andre Lucas
University of Chicago - Booth School of Business - Econometrics and Statistics, European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics and VU Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics
Downloads 102 (247,199)
Citation 3

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panel data, loss given default, default risk, dynamic beta density, dynamic ordered probit, dynamic factor model

Observation Driven Mixed-Measurement Dynamic Factor Models with an Application to Credit Risk

ECB Working Paper No. 1626
Number of pages: 43 Posted: 04 Jan 2014
Drew Creal, Bernd Schwaab, Siem Jan Koopman and Andre Lucas
University of Chicago - Booth School of Business - Econometrics and Statistics, European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics and VU Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics
Downloads 28 (461,140)
Citation 3

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panel data; loss given default; default risk; dynamic beta density; dynamic ordered probit; dynamic factor model

10.

Do Negative Interest Rates Make Banks Less Safe?

Downloads 106 (239,164)

Do Negative Interest Rates Make Banks Less Safe?

Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, 2017
Number of pages: 9 Posted: 26 Apr 2017
Federico Nucera, Andre Lucas, Julia Schaumburg and Bernd Schwaab
Luiss Guido Carli, Department of Economics and Finance, VU Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics, Tinbergen Institute and European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research
Downloads 84 (280,828)

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negative interest rates, bank business model, systemic risk, unconventional monetary policy measures

Do Negative Interest Rates Make Banks Less Safe?

ECB Working Paper No. 2098
Number of pages: 17 Posted: 14 Sep 2017
Federico Nucera, Andre Lucas, Julia Schaumburg and Bernd Schwaab
Luiss Guido Carli, Department of Economics and Finance, VU Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics, Tinbergen Institute and European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research
Downloads 22 (495,692)

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negative interest rates, bank business model, systemic risk, unconventional monetary policy measures

11.

The Information in Systemic Risk Rankings

Downloads 79 (288,824)

The Information in Systemic Risk Rankings

Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 15-070/III/94
Number of pages: 24 Posted: 03 Jun 2015
Federico Nucera, Bernd Schwaab, Siem Jan Koopman and Andre Lucas
Luiss Guido Carli, Department of Economics and Finance, European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics and VU Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics
Downloads 44 (392,147)

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systemic risk contribution, risk rankings, forecast combination, financial regulation, banking supervision

The Information in Systemic Risk Rankings

ECB Working Paper No. 1875
Number of pages: 34 Posted: 21 Jan 2016
Federico Nucera, Bernd Schwaab, Siem Jan Koopman and Andre Lucas
Luiss Guido Carli, Department of Economics and Finance, European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics and VU Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics
Downloads 35 (428,231)

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systemic risk contribution, risk rankings, forecast combination, financial regulation, banking supervision

12.

A Dynamic Yield Curve Model with Stochastic Volatility and Non-Gaussian Interactions: An Empirical Study of Non-Standard Monetary Policy in the Euro Area

Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 14-071/III
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 21 Jun 2014
Geert Mesters, Bernd Schwaab and Siem Jan Koopman
VU University Amsterdam - Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research and Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics
Downloads 78 (290,920)

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dynamic Nelson-Siegel models, Central bank asset purchases, non-Gaussian, state space methods, importance sampling, European Central Bank

13.

Conditional Euro Area Sovereign Default Risk

Riksbank Research Paper Series No. 100, Sveriges Riksbank Working Paper Series No. 269
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 15 Aug 2013
Andre Lucas, Bernd Schwaab and Xin Zhang
VU Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics, European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research and Sveriges Riksbank - Research Division
Downloads 65 (321,957)
Citation 2

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sovereign credit risk, higher order moments, time-varying parameters, financial stability

14.

Dynamic Factor Models with Macro, Frailty and Industry Effects for US Default Counts: The Credit Crisis of 2008

ECB Working Paper No. 1459
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 20 Aug 2012
Siem Jan Koopman, Andre Lucas and Bernd Schwaab
Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics, VU Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics and European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research
Downloads 58 (340,741)
Citation 2

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financial crisis, default risk, credit portfolio models, frailty-correlated defaults, state space methods

15.

Global Credit Risk: World, Country and Industry Factors

ECB Working Paper No. 1922
Number of pages: 55 Posted: 19 Jun 2016
Bernd Schwaab, Siem Jan Koopman and Andre Lucas
European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics and VU Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics
Downloads 55 (349,679)

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systematic default risk, credit portfolio models, frailty-correlated defaults, international default risk cycles, state-space methods

16.

Bank Business Models at Zero Interest Rates

ECB Working Paper No. 2084
Number of pages: 70 Posted: 04 Jul 2017
Andre Lucas, Julia Schaumburg and Bernd Schwaab
VU Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics, Tinbergen Institute and European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research
Downloads 39 (402,778)

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Bank Business Models; Clustering; Finite Mixture Model; Score-Driven Model; Low Interest Rate

17.

Bank Business Models at Zero Interest Rates

Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 16-066/IV
Number of pages: 56 Posted: 30 Aug 2016
Andre Lucas, Julia Schaumburg and Bernd Schwaab
VU Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics, Tinbergen Institute and European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research
Downloads 33 (426,671)

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bank business models, clustering, finite mixture model, score-driven model, low interest rates

18.

Conditional and Joint Credit Risk

ECB Working Paper No. 1621
Number of pages: 39 Posted: 14 Dec 2013
Andre Lucas, Bernd Schwaab and Xin Zhang
VU Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics, European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Research and Sveriges Riksbank - Research Division
Downloads 33 (426,671)

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sovereign credit risk; higher order moments; time-varying parameters; financial stability