William D. Nordhaus

Yale University - Department of Economics

Sterling Professor of Economics

28 Hillhouse Ave

New Haven, CT 06520-8268

United States

Cowles Foundation, Yale University

Sterling Professor of Economics

Box 208281

New Haven, CT 06520-8281

United States

National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

1050 Massachusetts Avenue

Cambridge, MA 02138

United States

SCHOLARLY PAPERS

41

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15,953

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in Total Papers Citations

645

CROSSREF CITATIONS

338

Scholarly Papers (41)

Are We Approaching an Economic Singularity? Information Technology and the Future of Economic Growth

Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 2021
Number of pages: 47 Posted: 09 Sep 2015
William D. Nordhaus
Yale University - Department of Economics
Downloads 2,330 (10,431)
Citation 4

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Superintelligence, Artificial intelligence, Economic growth, Computers

Are We Approaching an Economic Singularity? Information Technology and the Future of Economic Growth

NBER Working Paper No. w21547
Number of pages: 49 Posted: 14 Sep 2015 Last Revised: 18 May 2023
William D. Nordhaus
Yale University - Department of Economics
Downloads 79 (510,365)
Citation 1

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2.

Schumpeterian Profits and the Alchemist Fallacy

Yale Economic Applications and Policy Discussion Paper No. 6
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 05 Oct 2005
William D. Nordhaus
Yale University - Department of Economics
Downloads 1,543 (20,312)
Citation 2

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Schumpeter, profits, innovation

3.

How Should Benefits and Costs Be Discounted in an Intergenerational Context? The Views of an Expert Panel

Resources for the Future Discussion Paper No. 12-53
Number of pages: 34 Posted: 12 Jan 2013
Stanford University - Department of Economics, University of Maryland - Department of Economics, University of Toulouse 1 - Industrial Economic Institute (IDEI), University of Oxford - Department of Economics, Columbia University - Columbia Business School, Finance, Duke University - Nicholas School of Environment, Yale University - Department of Economics, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) - Sloan School of Management, Duke University, University of Arizona - Eller College of Management, Göteborg University - Department of Economics, The Economic and Social Research Institute, Dublin and Harvard University - Department of Economics
Downloads 1,225 (28,701)
Citation 38

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discount rate, uncertainty, declining discount rate, benefit-cost analysis

4.

An Analysis of the Dismal Theorem

Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1686
Number of pages: 27 Posted: 21 Jan 2009
William D. Nordhaus
Yale University - Department of Economics
Downloads 790 (53,001)

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Dismal theorem, Uncertainty, Climate change, Catastrophes

5.

Integrated Economic and Climate Modeling

Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1839
Number of pages: 100 Posted: 09 Dec 2011
William D. Nordhaus
Yale University - Department of Economics
Downloads 770 (54,870)
Citation 21

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Climate change, Integrated assessment models, Environmental economics, Social cost of carbon, Large-scale mathematical models

Schumpeterian Profits in the American Economy: Theory and Measurement

Number of pages: 28 Posted: 30 Apr 2004
William D. Nordhaus
Yale University - Department of Economics
Downloads 631 (70,311)
Citation 1

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Schumpeter, profits, innovation

Schumpeterian Profits in the American Economy: Theory and Measurement

NBER Working Paper No. w10433
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 29 Nov 2006 Last Revised: 06 Jul 2022
William D. Nordhaus
Yale University - Department of Economics
Downloads 136 (349,255)
Citation 1

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7.

The Progress of Computing

Number of pages: 53 Posted: 27 Sep 2001
William D. Nordhaus
Yale University - Department of Economics
Downloads 757 (56,134)
Citation 1

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Productivity, Hedonic Pricing, History of Computing

8.

The Economic Consequences of a War with Iraq

Number of pages: 51 Posted: 03 Dec 2002
William D. Nordhaus
Yale University - Department of Economics
Downloads 701 (62,221)

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Oil, Defense Spending, War, Iraq

The Health of Nations: The Contribution of Improved Health to Living Standards

Number of pages: 56 Posted: 14 Mar 2002
William D. Nordhaus
Yale University - Department of Economics
Downloads 457 (104,799)

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Health, Income, Growth

The Health of Nations: The Contribution of Improved Health to Living Standards

NBER Working Paper No. w8818
Number of pages: 61 Posted: 28 Feb 2002 Last Revised: 07 Aug 2022
William D. Nordhaus
Yale University - Department of Economics
Downloads 232 (218,132)
Citation 4

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Modeling Uncertainty in Climate Change: A Multi‐Model Comparison

Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 2022
Number of pages: 67 Posted: 25 Sep 2015
Yale University, Yale University - Department of Economics, University of California, Berkeley - Energy and Resources Group, Electric Power Research Institute, Bocconi University, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, University of Maryland - Joint Global Change Research Institute, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) - Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change and Yale University - Department of Economics
Downloads 256 (197,921)
Citation 1

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Climate change, Modeling, Uncertainty, Statistics, Integrated assessment models

Modeling Uncertainty in Climate Change: A Multi-Model Comparison

FEEM Working Paper No. 013.2016
Number of pages: 69 Posted: 08 Mar 2016
Yale University, Yale University - Department of Economics, University of California, Berkeley - Energy and Resources Group, Bocconi University, University of Maryland - Joint Global Change Research Institute, Electric Power Research Institute, affiliation not provided to SSRN, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) - Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change and Yale University - Department of Economics
Downloads 99 (441,939)
Citation 2

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Climate Change, Integrated Assessment Models

Modeling Uncertainty in Climate Change: A Multi-Model Comparison

CESifo Working Paper Series No. 5538
Number of pages: 67 Posted: 28 Oct 2015
Yale University, Yale University - Department of Economics, University of California, Berkeley - Energy and Resources Group, Electric Power Research Institute, Bocconi University, Copenhagen Business School - Department of Finance, University of Maryland - Joint Global Change Research Institute, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) - Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change and Yale University - Department of Economics
Downloads 63 (580,069)

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climate change, integrated assessment models

Modeling Uncertainty in Climate Change: A Multi-Model Comparison

NBER Working Paper No. w21637
Number of pages: 67 Posted: 19 Oct 2015 Last Revised: 13 Feb 2023
Yale University, Yale University - Department of Economics, University of California, Berkeley - Energy and Resources Group, Electric Power Research Institute, Bocconi University, Yale University, University of Maryland - Joint Global Change Research Institute, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) - Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change and Yale University - Department of Economics
Downloads 44 (686,293)

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11.

The "Stern Review" on the Economics of Climate Change

NBER Working Paper No. w12741
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 07 Dec 2006 Last Revised: 13 Feb 2023
William D. Nordhaus
Yale University - Department of Economics
Downloads 435 (112,175)
Citation 15

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12.

National Ambient Air Quality Standards (Naaqs) Brief

AEI-Brookings Joint Center Working Paper No. B00-01
Number of pages: 23 Posted: 17 Nov 2006
Stanford University - Department of Economics, New York University - Stern School of Business, Berkley Center for Entrepreneurial Studies, University of Pennsylvania - Business & Public Policy Department, Council on Foreign Relations (CFR) - Council on Foreign Relations- Washington D.C., Columbia University - Law School, Stanford University - The Hoover Institution on War, Revolution and Peace, Princeton University, Woodrow Wilson School, Brookings Institution, University of Maryland - Department of Economics, American Enterprise Institute (AEI), Charles River Associates (CRA), Mendocino College, Canadian Investment Review - Rogers Media, affiliation not provided to SSRN, Technology Policy Institute, Alfred P. Sloan Foundation, National Economic Research Associates Inc. (NERA) (Deceased), Princeton University - Princeton School of Public and International Affairs, Carnegie Mellon University - David A. Tepper School of Business (Deceased), American Enterprise Institute (AEI), Yale School of Management (Deceased), University of Michigan, Stephen M. Ross School of Business, George Mason University - Center for Study of Public Choice, Cato Institute, Yale University - Department of Economics, University of Maryland - Department of Economics, Milken Institute, University of Chicago, Booth School of Business, University of Arizona - Eller College of Management, Brookings Institution, University of Tennessee, Knoxville, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) - Sloan School of Management, Brookings Institution, Arizona State University (ASU) - Economics Department, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) - Department of Economics, Harvard University - Harvard Kennedy School (HKS), Columbia University - Columbia Business School, Finance, Haas School of Business, UC Berkeley, Vanderbilt University - Law School, Washington University in St. Louis - Murray Weidenbaum Center on the Economy, Government, and Public Policy, University of California, Berkeley - Economic Analysis & Policy Group and Harvard University - Harvard Kennedy School (HKS)
Downloads 434 (112,461)
Citation 1

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EPA, D.C. Circuit, regulatory actions

13.

Remedies Brief of Amici Curiae

Number of pages: 79 Posted: 04 Nov 2000
Council on Foreign Relations (CFR) - Council on Foreign Relations- Washington D.C., Stanford University - Department of Economics, Yale University - Department of Economics and Harvard University - Harvard Kennedy School (HKS)
Downloads 401 (123,257)
Citation 3

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The Mildest Recession: Output, Profits, and Stock Prices as the U.S. Emerges from the 2001 Recession

Number of pages: 32 Posted: 04 Jun 2002
William D. Nordhaus
Yale University - Department of Economics
Downloads 262 (193,351)

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Recession, Profits, Stock Prices, Returns

The Mildest Recession: Output, Profits, and Stock Prices as the U.S. Emerges from the 2001 Recession

NBER Working Paper No. w8938
Number of pages: 33 Posted: 17 May 2002 Last Revised: 05 Jun 2022
William D. Nordhaus
Yale University - Department of Economics
Downloads 106 (420,907)

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Projections and Uncertainties About Climate Change in an Era of Minimal Climate Policies

Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 2057
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 08 Dec 2016
William D. Nordhaus
Yale University - Department of Economics
Downloads 305 (165,138)
Citation 50

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Climate change, DICE model, uncertainty, social cost of carbon

Projections and Uncertainties About Climate Change in an Era of Minimal Climate Policies

NBER Working Paper No. w22933
Number of pages: 50 Posted: 19 Dec 2016 Last Revised: 01 Mar 2023
William D. Nordhaus
Yale University - Department of Economics
Downloads 48 (661,500)
Citation 3

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16.

Evolution of Modeling of the Economics of Global Warming: Changes in the Dice Model, 1992-2017

Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 2084
Number of pages: 22 Posted: 13 Mar 2017
William D. Nordhaus
Yale University - Department of Economics
Downloads 292 (173,962)
Citation 21

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Climate change, Integrated assessment models, DICE model, Revisions

17.

Some Foundational and Transformative Grand Challenges for the Social and Behavioral Sciences: The Problem of Global Public Goods

American Economic Association, Ten Years and Beyond: Economists Answer NSF's Call for Long-Term Research Agendas
Number of pages: 5 Posted: 12 Aug 2011
William D. Nordhaus
Yale University - Department of Economics
Downloads 264 (192,795)
Citation 2

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Estimates of the Social Cost of Carbon: Background and Results from the Rice-2011 Model

Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1826
Number of pages: 49 Posted: 19 Oct 2011
William D. Nordhaus
Yale University - Department of Economics
Downloads 193 (259,103)
Citation 8

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Social cost of carbon, Climate change, Carbon price, Equity weights

Estimates of the Social Cost of Carbon: Background and Results from the Rice-2011 Model

NBER Working Paper No. w17540
Number of pages: 49 Posted: 29 Oct 2011 Last Revised: 05 Jun 2023
William D. Nordhaus
Yale University - Department of Economics
Downloads 48 (661,500)
Citation 43

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19.

Retrospective on the 1970s Productivity Slowdown

NBER Working Paper No. w10950
Number of pages: 46 Posted: 19 Dec 2004 Last Revised: 04 Dec 2022
William D. Nordhaus
Yale University - Department of Economics
Downloads 219 (231,217)

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20.

Economics, Politics and the 2004 Election: Electoral Victory and Statistical Defeat

Yale Working Papers on Economic Applications and Policy Discussion Paper No. 7
Number of pages: 21 Posted: 10 Oct 2005
William D. Nordhaus
Yale University - Department of Economics
Downloads 213 (237,225)

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2004 election, exit poll, political equations

21.

The Economic Consequences of a War in Iraq

NBER Working Paper No. w9361
Number of pages: 52 Posted: 06 Dec 2002 Last Revised: 30 Jan 2022
William D. Nordhaus
Yale University - Department of Economics
Downloads 212 (238,236)
Citation 1

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22.

Retrospective on the Postwar Productivity Slowdown

Number of pages: 31 Posted: 24 Nov 2004
William D. Nordhaus
Yale University - Department of Economics
Downloads 203 (247,894)

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Productivity, economic growth

23.

Productivity Growth and the New Economy

NBER Working Paper No. w8096
Number of pages: 49 Posted: 26 Jan 2001 Last Revised: 17 Aug 2022
William D. Nordhaus
Yale University - Department of Economics
Downloads 197 (254,785)
Citation 8

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A Survey of Global Impacts of Climate Change: Replication, Survey Methods, and a Statistical Analysis

Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 2096
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 29 Jul 2017
William D. Nordhaus and Andrew Moffatt
Yale University - Department of Economics and U.S. Department of State
Downloads 109 (412,600)
Citation 6

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Climate change, Damages, Impacts, Survey of impacts

A Survey of Global Impacts of Climate Change: Replication, Survey Methods, and a Statistical Analysis

NBER Working Paper No. w23646
Number of pages: 40 Posted: 11 Aug 2017 Last Revised: 10 Feb 2023
William D. Nordhaus and Andrew Moffat
Yale University - Department of Economics and Government of the United States of America - Department of State
Downloads 76 (522,366)

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25.

Improved Estimates of Using Luminosity as a Proxy for Economic Statistics: New Results and Estimates of Precision

Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1857
Number of pages: 45 Posted: 01 Apr 2012
William D. Nordhaus and Xi Chen
Yale University - Department of Economics and Yale School of Public Health - Department of Health Policy and Management
Downloads 174 (284,457)
Citation 2

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Luminosity, Output measurement, National accounts, Proxy measures

The Perils of the Learning Model for Modeling Endogenous Technological Change

Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1685
Number of pages: 20 Posted: 04 Jan 2009
William D. Nordhaus
Yale University - Department of Economics
Downloads 120 (384,397)
Citation 10

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Learning by doing, Experience curves, Energy models, Technological change

The Perils of the Learning Model for Modeling Endogenous Technological Change

NBER Working Paper No. w14638
Number of pages: 20 Posted: 15 Jan 2009 Last Revised: 01 Jan 2023
William D. Nordhaus
Yale University - Department of Economics
Downloads 53 (632,131)

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27.

Alternative Policies and Sea-Level Rise in the RICE-2009 Model

Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1716
Number of pages: 29 Posted: 05 Aug 2009 Last Revised: 31 Aug 2009
William D. Nordhaus
Yale University - Department of Economics
Downloads 155 (313,609)

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climate change economics, environmental policy, economic growth

28.

The Effects of the Security Environment on Military Expenditures: Pooled Analyses of 165 Countries, 1950-2000

Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1707
Number of pages: 35 Posted: 12 Jun 2009 Last Revised: 27 Oct 2009
William D. Nordhaus, John R. Oneal and Bruce Russett
Yale University - Department of Economics, affiliation not provided to SSRN and Yale University - Department of Political Science
Downloads 152 (318,865)

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military spending, security threat, arms race, militarized disputes, democracy, alliances

29.

Alternative Methods for Measuring Productivity Growth

NBER Working Paper No. w8095
Number of pages: 20 Posted: 26 Jan 2001 Last Revised: 15 Aug 2022
William D. Nordhaus
Yale University - Department of Economics
Downloads 147 (327,591)

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30.

Life after Kyoto: Alternative Approaches to Global Warming

NBER Working Paper No. w11889
Number of pages: 34 Posted: 22 Jan 2006 Last Revised: 28 Dec 2022
William D. Nordhaus
Yale University - Department of Economics
Downloads 145 (331,256)
Citation 3

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The Value of Luminosity Data as a Proxy for Economic Statistics

Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1766
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 26 Aug 2010
Xi Chen and William D. Nordhaus
Yale School of Public Health - Department of Health Policy and Management and Yale University - Department of Economics
Downloads 88 (477,570)
Citation 29

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Luminosity, Proxy Variable, Measurement Error in GDP, Gross Grid-Cell Product

The Value of Luminosity Data as a Proxy for Economic Statistics

NBER Working Paper No. w16317
Number of pages: 44 Posted: 30 Aug 2010 Last Revised: 01 Feb 2023
Xi Chen and William D. Nordhaus
Yale School of Public Health - Department of Health Policy and Management and Yale University - Department of Economics
Downloads 53 (632,131)
Citation 43

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32.

Baumol's Diseases: A Macroeconomic Perspective

NBER Working Paper No. w12218
Number of pages: 58 Posted: 20 Jul 2006 Last Revised: 26 Dec 2022
William D. Nordhaus
Yale University - Department of Economics
Downloads 139 (342,457)
Citation 12

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33.

Measurement of Income with Time Use with Applications to Hedonic Indicators of Happiness and Misery

Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1705
Number of pages: 25 Posted: 10 Jun 2009
William D. Nordhaus
Yale University - Department of Economics
Downloads 129 (362,624)
Citation 1

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time use, Hedonic measures, national accounts, index numbers

34.

The Sources of the Productivity Rebound and the Manufacturing Employment Puzzle

NBER Working Paper No. w11354
Number of pages: 32 Posted: 21 Jun 2005 Last Revised: 11 Jul 2022
William D. Nordhaus
Yale University - Department of Economics
Downloads 110 (407,626)
Citation 1

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35.

New Data and Output Concepts for Understanding Productivity Trends

NBER Working Paper No. w8097
Number of pages: 36 Posted: 26 Jan 2001 Last Revised: 18 Aug 2022
William D. Nordhaus
Yale University - Department of Economics
Downloads 94 (453,997)

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36.

The Economics of Hurricanes in the United States

NBER Working Paper No. w12813
Number of pages: 47 Posted: 05 Jan 2007 Last Revised: 07 Jul 2022
William D. Nordhaus
Yale University - Department of Economics
Downloads 89 (469,918)

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37.

Evolution of Assessments of the Economics of Global Warming: Changes in the Dice Model, 1992 – 2017

NBER Working Paper No. w23319
Number of pages: 22 Posted: 17 Apr 2017 Last Revised: 20 Mar 2023
William D. Nordhaus
Yale University - Department of Economics
Downloads 70 (540,471)
Citation 1

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Global Melting? The Economics of Disintegration of the Greenland Ice Sheet

Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 2130
Number of pages: 42 Posted: 07 May 2018
William D. Nordhaus
Yale University - Department of Economics
Downloads 46 (673,775)

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Climate change, Environment, Ice sheets, DICE model

Global Melting? The Economics of Disintegration of the Greenland Ice Sheet

NBER Working Paper No. w24640
Number of pages: 43 Posted: 30 May 2018 Last Revised: 30 Apr 2023
William D. Nordhaus
Yale University - Department of Economics
Downloads 19 (888,039)
Citation 4

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39.

Policies, Projections, and the Social Cost of Carbon: Results from the Dice-2023 Model

NBER Working Paper No. w31112
Number of pages: 43 Posted: 12 Apr 2023 Last Revised: 06 Jul 2023
Lint Barrage and William D. Nordhaus
ETH Zürich and Yale University - Department of Economics
Downloads 30 (766,787)
Citation 15
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40.

The People and the Experts

NBER Working Paper No. w31217
Number of pages: 30 Posted: 08 May 2023 Last Revised: 22 May 2023
William D. Nordhaus and Douglas Rivers
Yale University - Department of Economics and Stanford University - Department of Political Science
Downloads 10 (945,790)
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41.

The Economics of Hurricanes and Implications of Global Warming

Climate Change Economics, Vol. 1, No. 1, pp. 1-20, May 2010
Posted: 01 Jun 2010
William D. Nordhaus
Yale University - Department of Economics

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Hurricanes, Global Warming, Climate Impacts, Katrina