The Shape of Things to Come? Assessing the Effectiveness of Suicide Attacks and Targeted Killings

38 Pages Posted: 19 Jul 2007

See all articles by David A. Jaeger

David A. Jaeger

Ph.D. Program in Economics, City University of New York Graduate Center; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER); University of Cologne - Department of Economics; IZA Institute of Labor Economics; CESifo (Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute); University College London - CReAM - Centre for Research and Analysis of Migration

M. Daniele Paserman

Hebrew University of Jerusalem - Department of Economics; Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR); IZA Institute of Labor Economics

Date Written: June 2007

Abstract

In this paper we assess the effectiveness of suicide attacks and targeted killings in the Second Intifada. We find evidence that the targeted killings of Palestinian leaders by Israel reduce realized Palestinian violence. We find, however, that intended Palestinian violence is increasing at low levels of targeted killings, but decreasing at higher levels. There is little evidence to suggest that suicide bombings against Israelis reduce the number of subsequent Palestinian fatalities. Rather, we find that suicide attacks that kill at least one Israeli lead to subsequent increased incidence and levels of Palestinian fatalities. Our results do not support the notion that suicide attacks and targeted killings follow the "tit-for-tat" pattern that is commonly postulated in the literature.

Keywords: suicide terrorism, targeted killings, assassinations, Second Intifada, Palestinians, Israel

JEL Classification: C32, D71, D74, H56

Suggested Citation

Jaeger, David A. and Paserman, M. Daniele, The Shape of Things to Come? Assessing the Effectiveness of Suicide Attacks and Targeted Killings (June 2007). IZA Discussion Paper No. 2890. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1000138

David A. Jaeger (Contact Author)

Ph.D. Program in Economics, City University of New York Graduate Center ( email )

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M. Daniele Paserman

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