Dynamic Parties and Social Turnout: An Agent-Based Model

American Journal of Sociology, Vol. 110, No. 4, pp. 1070-1094, January 2005

41 Pages Posted: 12 Aug 2007

See all articles by James H. Fowler

James H. Fowler

UC San Diego Division of Social Sciences; UC San Diego School of Medicine

Oleg Smirnov

State University of New York (SUNY) - Department of Political Science

Abstract

We develop an agent-based model of dynamic parties with social turnout built upon developments in different fields within social science. This model yields significant turnout, divergent platforms, and numerous results consistent with the rational calculus of voting model and the empirical literature on social turnout. In a simplified version of the model, the authors show how a local imitation structure inherently yields dynamics that encourage positive turnout. The model also generates new hypotheses about the importance of social networks and citizen-party interactions.

Suggested Citation

Fowler, James H. and Smirnov, Oleg, Dynamic Parties and Social Turnout: An Agent-Based Model. American Journal of Sociology, Vol. 110, No. 4, pp. 1070-1094, January 2005. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1006643

James H. Fowler (Contact Author)

UC San Diego Division of Social Sciences ( email )

9500 Gilman Drive
Code 0521
La Jolla, CA 92093-0521
United States

HOME PAGE: http://jhfowler.ucsd.edu

UC San Diego School of Medicine ( email )

9500 Gilman Drive
MC 0507
La Jolla, CA 92093
United States

HOME PAGE: http://jhfowler.ucsd.edu

Oleg Smirnov

State University of New York (SUNY) - Department of Political Science ( email )

Stony Brook, 11794-4392
United States

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