Die Another Day: Duration in German Import Trade

38 Pages Posted: 14 Sep 2007

See all articles by Volker Nitsch

Volker Nitsch

Darmstadt University of Technology - Department of Law and Economics; CESifo (Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute for Economic Research)

Date Written: August 2007

Abstract

International trade patterns at the product level are surprisingly dynamic. The majority of trade relationships exist for just a few, often only one to three, years. In this paper, I examine empirically the duration in German import trade at the 8-digit product level from 1995 to 2005. I find that survival probabilities are affected by exporter characteristics, product type and market structure. Specifically, I show that the duration of exporting a product to Germany is longer for products obtained from countries that are economically large and geographically close to Germany; for products with large trade value and a low elasticity of substitution; and for trade pairs that command a large share of the German import market and are characterized by two-way trade.

Keywords: survival, product, relationship, pattern

JEL Classification: F14, F19, C14, C41

Suggested Citation

Nitsch, Volker, Die Another Day: Duration in German Import Trade (August 2007). CESifo Working Paper Series No. 2085, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1014020

Volker Nitsch (Contact Author)

Darmstadt University of Technology - Department of Law and Economics ( email )

Marktplatz 15
Residenzschloss
Darmstadt, 64283
Germany

CESifo (Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute for Economic Research)

Poschinger Str. 5
Munich, DE-81679
Germany

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