Volatility Clustering in Monthly Stock Returns
Posted: 25 Sep 2007
We investigate volatility clustering using a modeling approach based on the temporal aggregation results for generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH) models in Drost and Nijman [Econometrica, 1993]. Our findings highlight that volatility clustering, contrary to widespread belief, is not only present in high-frequency financial data. Monthly data also exhibit significant serial dependence in the second moments. We show that the use of temporal aggregation to estimate low-frequency models reduces parameter uncertainty substantially.
Keywords: Stock returns, GARCH, Volatility clustering, Temporal aggregation
JEL Classification: C20, G10
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