Employment Fluctuations and Dynamics of the Aggregate Average Wage in Poland, 1996-2003
German Institute for Economic Research (DIW Berlin); IZA Institute of Labor Economics
University of Warsaw - Department of Economics and Business
University of Warsaw
Economics of Transition, Vol. 15, No. 4, pp. 759-779, October 2007
The aggregate average wage is often used as an indicator of economic performance and welfare, and as such often serves as a benchmark for changes in the generosity of public transfers and for wage negotiations. Yet if economies experience a high degree of (non-random) fluctuation in employment, the composition of the employed population will have a considerable effect on the computed average. In this paper we demonstrate the extent of this problem using data for Poland for the period 1996-2003. During these years the employment rate in Poland fell from 51.2 percent to 44.2 percent and most of this fall occurred between the end of 1998 and the end of 2002. We show that about a quarter of the growth in the average wage during this period could be attributed purely to changes in employment.
Number of Pages in PDF File: 21
Date posted: September 26, 2007