Voting with Their Feet: Jobs versus Amenities

34 Pages Posted: 11 Dec 2007

See all articles by Mark Ferguson

Mark Ferguson

Independent

Kamar Ali

University of Saskatchewan - College of Agriculture - Agricultural Economics

M. Rose Olfert

University of Saskatchewan - College of Agriculture - Agricultural Economics

Mark Partridge

Ohio State University (OSU) - Department of Agricultural, Environmental & Development Economics

Abstract

The determinants of rural and urban community population change over the period 1991-2001 are investigated at a very fine level of disaggregation for Canada. The study examines the influence of local amenities, economic factors, and agglomeration economies on population growth for age cohorts starting from the very young to the elderly. Motivated by the objective of assessing the overall jobs versus people question in economic development, the emphasis is on estimating the relative contribution of groupings of variables in explaining the variations in population change rather than the contribution of individual variables. Results indicate that rural and urban populations are influenced to differing degrees by amenity, economic, and urban scale groupings of variables and that there are variations among age cohorts in both urban and rural areas. While economic variables are the most influential in population change for all rural cohorts, their contribution somewhat diminishes with age. In urban areas, amenity, and economic variable groupings have approximately equal importance across all cohorts. For the key young adult cohort, the economic grouping is clearly the most influential in rural areas, while it is a close second to amenities in urban areas.

Suggested Citation

Ferguson, Mark and Ali, Kamar and Olfert, M. Rose and Partridge, Mark D., Voting with Their Feet: Jobs versus Amenities. Growth and Change, Vol. 38, Issue 1, pp. 77-110, March 2007, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1061842 or http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-2257.2007.00354.x

Mark Ferguson

Independent

Kamar Ali (Contact Author)

University of Saskatchewan - College of Agriculture - Agricultural Economics ( email )

51 Campus Drive
Saskatoon, SK S7N 5A8
Canada

M. Rose Olfert

University of Saskatchewan - College of Agriculture - Agricultural Economics ( email )

51 Campus Drive
Saskatoon, SK S7N 5A8
Canada

Mark D. Partridge

Ohio State University (OSU) - Department of Agricultural, Environmental & Development Economics ( email )

2120 Fyffe Rd
Columbus, OH 43210-1067
United States

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