Can Banks in Emerging Economies Benefit from Revenue Diversification?
47 Pages Posted: 24 Dec 2007 Last revised: 31 Jan 2010
Date Written: January 2010
Are there significant benefits of revenue diversification for banks in emerging economies? This paper investigates the impact of revenue diversification on insolvency risk in emerging economies as measured by the distance to default. Using a panel dataset of 322 listed banks across 22 countries and a new methodological approach (Systems' Generalized Method of Moments estimator), we provide the first empirical evidence of the impact of (i) the observed shift towards non-interest income and (ii) diversification within interest and non-interest generating activities on insolvency risk. Our core finding is that diversification across and within both interest and non-interest income generating activities decreases insolvency risk. Moreover, we find diversification gains remain even though increased reliance on non-interest income lowers risk adjusted profits. By extension, our results have significant strategic implications for bank managers and supervisors in emerging economies.
Keywords: Emerging Economies, Revenue Diversification, Banks, Insolvency Risk
JEL Classification: G10, G21, G28
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation