A Moment of Time: Reliability in Route Choice Using Stated Preference

Journal of Intelligent Transportation Systems, Forthcoming

24 Pages Posted: 4 Feb 2008

See all articles by Nebiyou Tilahun

Nebiyou Tilahun

affiliation not provided to SSRN

David Matthew Levinson

affiliation not provided to SSRN

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Abstract

Understanding how reliability is valued is important because it provides insight to how aims of policies that aspire to provide better transport options can be more fully integrated with user expectations. In this study we derive a choice model for work commute trips that trades off alternatives based on the most frequent experience that users had on that route and the possibility of late or early arrival if they use a particular route. The idea of reliability is incorporated by how far the expected lateness or early arrival is from the most frequent experience on that route. We find that on route decisions the mode travel time is valued at $7.43 per hour while reduction from the magnitude of average lateness (thereby increasing the reliability of the route) is valued at $6.91 per hour.

Keywords: Travel time reliability, Stated preference, Late Penalty, Early Penalty

Suggested Citation

Tilahun, Nebiyou and Levinson, David Matthew, A Moment of Time: Reliability in Route Choice Using Stated Preference. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1089126

Nebiyou Tilahun

affiliation not provided to SSRN ( email )

David Matthew Levinson (Contact Author)

affiliation not provided to SSRN

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