Success Chances in Argument Games: A Probabilistic Approach to Legal Disputes

14 Pages Posted: 4 Mar 2008 Last revised: 24 Dec 2013

See all articles by Regis Riveret

Regis Riveret

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Antonino Rotolo

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Giovanni Sartor

European University Institute Law Department

Roth Bram

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Henry Prakken

University of Utrecht

Abstract

The outcome of a legal dispute, namely, the decision of its adjudicator, is uncertain, and both parties develop their strategies on the basis of their appreciation of the probability that the adjudicator will accept their arguments or the arguments of their adversary. Costs and gains have to be balanced in light of this uncertainty in order to identify the most convenient strategies. This paper provides a probabilistic approach embedded into an argumentation framework to capture this uncertainty and its use to determine the expected utility to engage in a legal dispute.

Keywords: law, argumentation, games

Suggested Citation

Riveret, Regis and Rotolo, Antonino and Sartor, Giovanni and Bram, Roth and Prakken, Henry, Success Chances in Argument Games: A Probabilistic Approach to Legal Disputes. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1100672 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1100672

Regis Riveret

affiliation not provided to SSRN ( email )

Antonino Rotolo

affiliation not provided to SSRN ( email )

Giovanni Sartor (Contact Author)

European University Institute Law Department ( email )

Via Bolognese 156 (Villa Salviati)
50-139 Firenze
ITALY

Roth Bram

affiliation not provided to SSRN ( email )

Henry Prakken

University of Utrecht ( email )

Vredenburg 138
NL-3508 TC Utrecht, 3511 BG
Netherlands

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