Do Investors Value Smooth Performance?

Abstract

This paper presents empirical evidence that cash-flow volatility is negatively valued by investors. The magnitude of the effect is substantial with a 1% increase in cash-flow volatility, resulting in approximately a 0.15% decrease in firm value. We show that this increase, however, is not associated with earnings - smoothing resulting from managers' accrual estimates. Our results are consistent with a preference by the market for less volatile cash flows and suggest that managers' efforts to produce smooth financial statements add value, but only via the cash component of earnings.

Keywords: Cash flow volatility, earnings smoothing, risk management

JEL Classification: G12, M41, M44