The Trouble with the MDGS: Confronting Expectations of Aid and Development Success

56 Pages Posted: 26 Mar 2008

See all articles by Michael A. Clemens

Michael A. Clemens

Center for Global Development; IZA-Institute for the Study of Labor

Charles Kenny

World Bank - Information and Communications Technologies Department (ICT)

Todd J. Moss

Center for Global Development

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Date Written: September 2004

Abstract

The Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) are unlikely to be met by 2015, even if huge increases in development assistance materialize. The MDGs are a set of quantitative, time-bound targets for indicators such as poverty, education and mortality in developing countries adopted unanimously by the UN in 2000. However, the rates of progress required by many of the goals are at the edges of or beyond historical precedent. At the same time, there appear to be limits to the degree to which aid can contribute to development outcomes. Estimates of the 'cost' of reaching the MDGs are nevertheless frequently misinterpreted to mean that a certain quantity of aid - such as the oft-cited $50 billion - could cause the Goals to be met. Despite many benefits of the MDGs, there has been little discussion so far of potential costs of the specific form taken by these goals, especially the creation of unreasonable expectations about what is achievable in a short time frame and about the role of aid in the development process. Many countries making extraordinarily rapid progress on MDG indicators, due in large part to aid, will nonetheless not reach the MDGs. Unrealistic targets thus may turn successes into perceptions of failure, serving to undermine future constituencies for aid (in donors) and reform (in recipients). This would be unfortunate given the vital role of aid and reform in the development process and the need for long-term, sustained aid commitments. Though goal-setting can be useful, these particular goals might be better viewed not as practical targets but instead as valuable reminders of the stark contrast between the world we have and the world we want, and as a call to redouble our search for interventions to close the gap more rapidly.

Keywords: Millenium Development Goals, foreign aid, international development

Suggested Citation

Clemens, Michael Andrew and Kenny, Charles and Moss, Todd J., The Trouble with the MDGS: Confronting Expectations of Aid and Development Success (September 2004). Center for Global Development Working Paper No. 40, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1112682 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1112682

Michael Andrew Clemens (Contact Author)

Center for Global Development ( email )

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IZA-Institute for the Study of Labor ( email )

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Charles Kenny

World Bank - Information and Communications Technologies Department (ICT) ( email )

Strategy Unit
2121 Pennsylvania Avenue NW
Washington, DC 20433

Todd J. Moss

Center for Global Development ( email )

2055 L St. NW
5th floor
Washington, DC 20036
United States

HOME PAGE: http://www.cgdev.org

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