Equity Returns at the Turn of the Month
Posted: 14 Sep 2008 Last revised: 24 Sep 2008
The turn-of-the-month effect in U.S. equities is found to be so powerful in the 1926-2005 period that, on average, investors received no reward for bearing market risk except at turns of the month. The effect is not confined to small-capitalization or low-price stocks, to calendar year-ends or quarter-ends, or to the United States: This study finds that it occurs in 31 of the 35 countries examined. Furthermore, it is not caused by month-end buying pressure as measured by trading volume or net flows to equity funds. This persistent peculiarity in returns remains a puzzle in search of an answer.
Keywords: Portfolio Management, Equity Strategies, Equity Investments, Fundamental Analysis and Valuation Models
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