Selecting a Regression Saturated by Indicators

CREATES Research Paper 2007-36

19 Pages Posted: 24 Jun 2008

See all articles by Soren Johansen

Soren Johansen

University of Copenhagen - Department of Economics; Aarhus University - CREATES

David F. Hendry

University of Oxford-Nuffield College

Carlos Santos

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Date Written: November 7, 2007

Abstract

We consider selecting a regression model, using a variant of Gets, when there are more variables than observations, in the special case that the variables are impulse dummies (indicators) for every observation. We show that the setting is unproblematic if tackled appropriately, and obtain the finite-sample distribution of estimators of the mean and variance in a simple location-scale model under the null that no impulses matter. A Monte Carlo simulation confirms the null distribution, and shows power against an alternative of interest.We consider selecting a regression model, using a variant of Gets, when there are more variables than observations, in the special case that the variables are impulse dummies (indicators) for every observation. We show that the setting is unproblematic if tackled appropriately, and obtain the finite-sample distribution of estimators of the mean and variance in a simple location-scale model under the null that no impulses matter. A Monte Carlo simulation confirms the null distribution, and shows power against an alternative of interest.

Keywords: Indicators, regression saturation, subset selection, model selection

JEL Classification: C51, C22

Suggested Citation

Johansen, Soren and Hendry, David F. and Santos, Carlos, Selecting a Regression Saturated by Indicators (November 7, 2007). CREATES Research Paper 2007-36, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1150662 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1150662

Soren Johansen (Contact Author)

University of Copenhagen - Department of Economics ( email )

Øster Farimagsgade 5
Bygning 26
1353 Copenhagen K.
Denmark

Aarhus University - CREATES ( email )

Nordre Ringgade 1
Aarhus, DK-8000
Denmark

David F. Hendry

University of Oxford-Nuffield College ( email )

1 New Road
Oxford, OX1 1nf
United Kingdom
+44 1865 278544 (Phone)
+44 1865 278557 (Fax)

HOME PAGE: http://https://www.nuffield.ox.ac.uk/

Carlos Santos

affiliation not provided to SSRN

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