Procedural Transparency and the Credibility of Election Surveys

26 Pages Posted: 2 Jul 2008

See all articles by Arthur Lupia

Arthur Lupia

University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Political Science

Abstract

The success and influence of survey-based electoral research is fueling the ambitions of survey analysts and producers. As a result, many new forms and uses of survey data are emerging. These new activities bring with them important questions about credibility. I address several of these questions by discussing common practices in the production and analysis of election surveys. I contend that the continuation of some of these practices threatens the credibility of individual studies and, in some cases, the election-oriented survey enterprise as a whole. In all of these cases, however, I argue that a commitment to increased transparency about analytic and/or production decisions can enhance credibility. In the process, I provide suggestions and examples of how transparency can be increased.

Suggested Citation

Lupia, Arthur, Procedural Transparency and the Credibility of Election Surveys. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1154618 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1154618

Arthur Lupia (Contact Author)

University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Political Science ( email )

Ann Arbor, MI 48109
United States
734-647-7549 (Phone)
734-764-3341 (Fax)

HOME PAGE: www.umich.edu/~lupia

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