60 Pages Posted: 10 Jul 2008
Date Written: July 10, 2008
We take a simple q-theory model and ask how well it can explain external financing anomalies, both qualitatively and quantitatively. Our central insight is that optimal investment is an important driving force of these anomalies. The model simultaneously reproduces procyclical equity issuance waves, the negative relation between investment and average returns, long-term underperformance following equity issues, positive long-term drift following cash distributions, the mean-reverting operating performance of issuing and cash-distributing firms, and the failure of the CAPM in explaining the long-term stock-price drifts. However, the model cannot fully capture the magnitude of the positive drift following cash distributions observed in the data.
Keywords: Anomalies, the q-theory, optimal investment, time-varying expected return, rational expectations economics
JEL Classification: D21, D92, E22, E44, G12, G14, G31, G32, G35
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation