Marketing Period Risk in a Portfolio Context: Comment and Extension

Posted: 20 Oct 2008 Last revised: 2 Dec 2008

See all articles by Zhenguo (Len) Lin

Zhenguo (Len) Lin

Florida International University (FIU) - Hollo School of Real Estate

Yingchun Liu

Dept. of Finance, Insurance, Real Estate and Law, University of North Texas

Kerry D. Vandell

University of California, Irvine - Paul Merage School of Business; University of California, Irvine School of Law

Date Written: October 17, 2008

Abstract

This paper re-examines and extends the findings of Bond et al., Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, 34, 447-461, (2007) who consider the theoretical model of Lin and Vandell, Real Estate Economics, 35, 291-330, (2007) to determine the extent to which individual real estate asset return characteristics caused by marketing period risk disappear in a large, diversified real estate portfolio. The effects of marketing period risk are found to disappear in the limit with growth in the size of the portfolio, with ex ante variance approaching ex post variance, but only if the portfolio consists of nonsystematic risk alone, in which case both approach zero. The marketing period risk factor (MPRF), representing the ratio of ex ante to ex post variance, however, does not in general approach zero in the limit, in fact could increase or decrease depending upon the illiquidity characteristics of the individual assets and the magnitude and degree of correlation among individual property returns and marketing periods. The results suggest that even large institutional real estate portfolio managers must consider the illiquidity present in their portfolios and cannot assume that its effect will be diversified away.

Keywords: time on market, real estate liquidity, portfolio performance

Suggested Citation

Lin, Zhenguo and Liu, Yingchun and Vandell, Kerry D., Marketing Period Risk in a Portfolio Context: Comment and Extension (October 17, 2008). Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Vol. 38, No. 2, 2009, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1286191

Zhenguo Lin (Contact Author)

Florida International University (FIU) - Hollo School of Real Estate ( email )

Miami, FL 33199
United States
3057799248 (Phone)

Yingchun Liu

Dept. of Finance, Insurance, Real Estate and Law, University of North Texas ( email )

1155 Union Circle #305340
Denton, TX 76203
United States

Kerry D. Vandell

University of California, Irvine - Paul Merage School of Business ( email )

Paul Merage School of Business
Irvine, CA California 92697-3125
United States

University of California, Irvine School of Law ( email )

401 E. Peltason Dr.
Ste. 1000
Irvine, CA 92697-1000
United States

Do you have a job opening that you would like to promote on SSRN?

Paper statistics

Abstract Views
703
PlumX Metrics