Immigration and Housing Prices in Spain

FEDEA Working Paper No. 2008-40

20 Pages Posted: 31 Oct 2008  

Simon Sosvilla-Rivero

Complutense Institute for International Studies

Date Written: October 27, 2008

Abstract

In this paper quantitatively explores the role of immigration in the evolution of housing prices in Spain and its autonomous regions for the period 1995-2007. We use estimations of an inverted model for housing demand with and without immigrant flows. The results we have obtained suggest that housing prices in Spain are overvaluated in relation to the value determined by its fundamental variables in a 14.75 percent if we exclude immigrant flows, and in a 7.37 percent if we take them into account. We can consequently conclude that the eventual correction in housing prices to which the Spanish economy is exposed would not be as intense as it has been suggested by some international organisations. For the different autonomous regions, the greater differences in the estimations of overvaluated housing prices are found in Murcia, Canary Islands, Valencian Community, Madrid, Catalonia, Andalusia and Balearic Islands, all of them regions particularly attractive for foreign immigrants as they offer the best employment opportunities. These regions also have a relatively high level of tourist activity and represent a favoured location by many European citizens for the acquisition of a second residence.

Keywords: Housing prices, Spain, Autonomous regions

JEL Classification: C52, R21, R31

Suggested Citation

Sosvilla-Rivero, Simon, Immigration and Housing Prices in Spain (October 27, 2008). FEDEA Working Paper No. 2008-40. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1290515 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1290515

Simon Sosvilla-Rivero (Contact Author)

Complutense Institute for International Studies ( email )

Carretera de Humera s/n
Madrid, Madrid 28223
Spain
+34913932626 (Phone)

HOME PAGE: http://www.ucm.es/info/ecocuan/ssr/

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