The Impact of Aids Mortality on the Distribution of Income in Côte D'Ivoire

Posted: 3 Nov 2008

See all articles by Denis Cogneau

Denis Cogneau

Institut de Recherche pour le Developpement (IRD)

Michael Grimm

Erasmus University Rotterdam; University of Passau; IZA; DIW Berlin

Date Written: November 2008


We build a micro-simulation model able to simulate over a 15 years' period the impact of AIDS on the distribution of income in Côte d'Ivoire. We focus on the labour supply effects of AIDS-induced mortality. We find that although the size of the economy in terms of total household income is reduced by about 6% after 15 years, average household income per capita, household income inequality and poverty remain almost unchanged. In contrast to an often heard argument, the population dependency ratio is not much modified by the AIDS epidemic. These conclusions do not seem to depend on the degree of heterogeneity and clustering of HIV/AIDS infections over the population.

Keywords: C15, D31, J10

Suggested Citation

Cogneau, Denis and Grimm, Michael, The Impact of Aids Mortality on the Distribution of Income in Côte D'Ivoire (November 2008). Journal of African Economies, Vol. 17, Issue 5, pp. 688-728, 2008. Available at SSRN: or

Denis Cogneau (Contact Author)

Institut de Recherche pour le Developpement (IRD) ( email )

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Paris 75010, 90009

Michael Grimm

Erasmus University Rotterdam ( email )

Kortenaerkade 12
P.O. Box 29776
The Hague, 2502LT


University of Passau ( email )

Innstrasse 29
Passau, 94032


IZA ( email )

P.O. Box 7240
Bonn, D-53072

DIW Berlin ( email )

Mohrenstraße 58
Berlin, 10117

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