Macro-Micro Feedback Links of Irrigation Water Management in Turkey

81 Pages Posted: 20 Apr 2016

See all articles by Erol H. Cakmak

Erol H. Cakmak

Middle East Technical University (METU) - Department of Economics

Hasan Dudu

European Union - Institute for Prospective Technological Studies (IPTS)

Durdane Sirin Saracoglu

Middle East Technical University (METU) - Department of Economics

Xinshen Diao

International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI)

Terry L. Roe

University of Minnesota - College of Agricultural, Food and Environmental Sciences - Department of Applied Economics

Yacov Tsur

Hebrew University of Jerusalem

Date Written: November 1, 2008

Abstract

Agricultural production is heavily dependent on water availability in Turkey, where half the crop production relies on irrigation. Irrigated agriculture consumes about 75 percent of total water used, which is about 30 percent of renewable water availability. This study analyzes the likely effects of increased competition for water resources and changes in the Turkish economy. The analysis uses an economy-wide Walrasian Computable General Equilibrium model with a detailed account of the agricultural sector. The study investigated the economy-wide effects of two external shocks, namely a permanent increase in the world prices of agricultural commodities and climate change, along with the impact of the domestic reallocation of water between agricultural and non-agricultural uses. It was also recognized that because of spatial heterogeneity of the climate, the simulated scenarios have differential impact on the agricultural production and hence on the allocation of factors of production including water. The greatest effects on major macroeconomic indicators occur in the climate change simulations. As a result of the transfer of water from rural to urban areas, overall production of all crops declines. Although production on rainfed land increases, production on irrigated land declines, most notably the production of maize and fruits. The decrease in agricultural production, coupled with the domestic price increase, is further reflected in net trade. Agricultural imports increase with a greater decline in agricultural exports.

Keywords: Water Supply and Sanitation Governance and Institutions, Water Supply and Systems, Water and Industry, Town Water Supply and Sanitation, Economic Theory & Research

Suggested Citation

Cakmak, Erol H. and Dudu, Hasan and Saracoglu, Durdane Sirin and Diao, Xinshen and Roe, Terry L. and Tsur, Yacov, Macro-Micro Feedback Links of Irrigation Water Management in Turkey (November 1, 2008). World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 4781, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1303926

Erol H. Cakmak

Middle East Technical University (METU) - Department of Economics ( email )

Inonu Bulvari
Ankara
Turkey
++90 (312) 210 3088 (Phone)
++90 (312) 210 7964 (Fax)

Hasan Dudu

European Union - Institute for Prospective Technological Studies (IPTS) ( email )

Edificio Expo, C
Inca Garcilaso, s/n
Sevilla, E-41092
Spain
+34954488443 (Phone)

Durdane Sirin Saracoglu

Middle East Technical University (METU) - Department of Economics ( email )

Inonu Bulvari
Ankara
Turkey

Xinshen Diao

International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) ( email )

2033 K Street, NW
Washington, DC 20006
United States
202-862-8113 (Phone)
202-467-4439 (Fax)

Terry L. Roe

University of Minnesota - College of Agricultural, Food and Environmental Sciences - Department of Applied Economics ( email )

1994 Buford Avenue
St. Paul, MN 55108
United States

Yacov Tsur

Hebrew University of Jerusalem ( email )

POB 12
Rehovot, 7610001
Israel

HOME PAGE: http://https://economics.agri.huji.ac.il/yacovtsur

Do you have a job opening that you would like to promote on SSRN?

Paper statistics

Downloads
81
Abstract Views
981
rank
375,377
PlumX Metrics