Beyond Greed and Grievance: Feasibility and Civil War

Posted: 10 Dec 2008

See all articles by Paul Collier

Paul Collier

University of Oxford - Blavatnik School of Government

Anke Hoeffler

University of Oxford - Centre for the Study of African Economies (CSAE)

Dominic Rohner

University of Zurich

Date Written: January 2009

Abstract

Civil war is the most prevalent form of large-scale violence and is massively destructive to life, society, and the economy. The prevention of civil war is therefore a key priority for international attention. We present an empirical analysis of what makes countries prone to civil war. Using a global panel data set we examine different determinants of civil war for the period 1960-2004. We find little evidence that motivation can account for civil war risk but we suggest that there is evidence to support our feasibility hypothesis: that where a rebellion is financially and militarily feasible it will occur.

JEL Classification: O10, D74

Suggested Citation

Collier, Paul and Hoeffler, Anke and Rohner, Dominic, Beyond Greed and Grievance: Feasibility and Civil War (January 2009). Oxford Economic Papers, Vol. 61, Issue 1, pp. 1-27, 2009, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1311720 or http://dx.doi.org/gpn029

Paul Collier

University of Oxford - Blavatnik School of Government ( email )

10 Merton St
Oxford, Oxfordshire OX1 4JJ
United Kingdom

Anke Hoeffler

University of Oxford - Centre for the Study of African Economies (CSAE) ( email )

Oxford OX1 3UL
United Kingdom
+44 1865 274 554 (Phone)
+44 1865 274 558 (Fax)

Dominic Rohner

University of Zurich ( email )

Muehlebachstrasse 86
Zurich, 8008
Switzerland

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