56 Pages Posted: 26 Dec 2008 Last revised: 15 Feb 2010
Date Written: February 10, 2010
We use differences between the attributes of stock issuers and repurchasers to forecast characteristic-related stock returns. For example, we show that large firms underperform following years when issuing firms are large relative to repurchasing firms. Our approach is useful for forecasting returns to portfolios based on book-to-market (HML), size (SMB), price, distress, payout policy, profitability, and industry. We consider interpretations of these results based on both time-varying risk premia and mispricing. Our results are primarily consistent with the view that firms issue and repurchase shares to exploit time-varying characteristic mispricing.
Keywords: Limits-to-arbitrage, characteristics, mispricing, capital structure, cross-section of stock returns
JEL Classification: G14, G32
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation
Greenwood, Robin M. and Hanson, Samuel Gregory, Characteristic Timing (February 10, 2010). Harvard Business School Finance Working Paper No. 09-099. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1320187 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1320187