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Tracking Problems, Hedge Fund Replication and Alternative Beta

66 Pages Posted: 12 Jan 2009 Last revised: 20 Apr 2009

Thierry Roncalli

Amundi Asset Management; University of Evry

Guillaume Weisang

Clark University - Graduate School of Management

Date Written: January 9, 2009

Abstract

As hedge fund replication based on factor models has encountered growing interest among professionals and academics, and despite the launch of numerous products (indexes and mutual funds) in the past year, it faced many critics. In this paper, we consider three of the main critiques, namely the lack of reactivity of hedge fund replication and its deficiency in capturing tactical allocations; its failure to apprehend non-linear positions of the underlying hedge fund industry and higher moments of hedge fund returns; and, finally, the lack of access to the alpha of hedge funds. To address these problems, we consider hedge fund replication as a general tracking problem which may be solved by means of Bayesian filters. Using the linear Gaussian model as a basis for discussion, we provide the reader with an intuition for the inner tenets of the Kalman filter and illustrate the results' sensitivity to the algorithm specification choices. This part of the paper includes considerations on the type of strategies which can be replicated, as well as the problem of selecting factors. We then apply more advanced Bayesian filters' algorithms, known as particle filters, to capture the non-normality and non-linearities documented on hedge fund returns. Finally, we address the problem of accessing the pure alpha by proposing a core/satellite approach of alternative investments between high-liquid alternative beta and less liquid investments.

Keywords: Tracking problem, hedge fund replication, alternative beta, global tactical asset allocation, Bayes filter, Kalman filter, particle filter, non-linear exposure, alpha

JEL Classification: G11, C60

Suggested Citation

Roncalli, Thierry and Weisang, Guillaume, Tracking Problems, Hedge Fund Replication and Alternative Beta (January 9, 2009). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1325190 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1325190

Thierry Roncalli (Contact Author)

Amundi Asset Management ( email )

90 Boulevard Pasteur
Paris, 75015
France

University of Evry ( email )

Boulevard Francois Mitterrand
F-91025 Evry Cedex
France

Guillaume Weisang

Clark University - Graduate School of Management ( email )

950 Main Street
Worcester, MA 01610
United States

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