Twisted Roots: Cointegrated Explanations of Transformation within the Federal Judicial Appointment Process

45 Pages Posted: 12 Mar 2009 Last revised: 9 Nov 2009

Marcus E. Hendershot

Oklahoma State University

Date Written: November 21, 2009

Abstract

This analysis presents a macro-level time series analysis of transformation within the judicial appointment process that evaluates the political party, judicial agenda, and interest group accounts of change. The presence of cointegration between measures related to these three hypotheses requires a more complex vector error correction estimation strategy that can capture endogenous relationships within independent variables and at the same time explain the short and long term dynamics of selection and confirmation. The results suggest that the judicial agenda and party realignment offer the best explanations of selection variance and that presidential partisan unity and interest group mobilization are the most robust predictors of confirmation.

Keywords: judges, appointments, party realignment, judicial agenda, interest groups

Suggested Citation

Hendershot, Marcus E., Twisted Roots: Cointegrated Explanations of Transformation within the Federal Judicial Appointment Process (November 21, 2009). CELS 2009 4th Annual Conference on Empirical Legal Studies Paper. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1358368 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1358368

Marcus E. Hendershot (Contact Author)

Oklahoma State University ( email )

Department of Political Science
201 Murray Hall
Stillwater, OK 74078-0555
United States

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