Does Beta Move with News? Firm-Specific Information Flows and Learning About Profitability

Review of Financial Studies, Forthcoming

65 Pages Posted: 23 Mar 2009 Last revised: 11 Mar 2012

See all articles by Andrew J. Patton

Andrew J. Patton

Duke University - Department of Economics

Michela Verardo

London School of Economics & Political Science (LSE)

Date Written: February 28, 2012

Abstract

We investigate whether the betas of individual stocks vary with the release of firm-specific news. Using daily firm-level betas estimated from intra-day prices for all constituents of the S&P 500 index, we find that the betas of individual stocks increase by an economically and statistically significant amount on days of quarterly earnings announcements, and revert to their average levels two to five days later. The increase in betas is greater for earnings announcements with larger positive or negative earnings surprises, for announcements that convey more information about other firms in the market, and for announcements that resolve greater ex-ante uncertainty. Our empirical results are all consistent with a simple learning model in which investors use information on announcing firms to revise their expectations about the profitability of the aggregate economy.

Keywords: Beta, comovement, earnings, announcements, information spillovers, realized covariance, realized volatility, high-frequency data.

JEL Classification: G14, G12, C32

Suggested Citation

Patton, Andrew J. and Verardo, Michela, Does Beta Move with News? Firm-Specific Information Flows and Learning About Profitability (February 28, 2012). Review of Financial Studies, Forthcoming, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1361813 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1361813

Andrew J. Patton

Duke University - Department of Economics ( email )

213 Social Sciences Building
Box 90097
Durham, NC 27708-0204
United States

HOME PAGE: http://econ.duke.edu/~ap172/

Michela Verardo (Contact Author)

London School of Economics & Political Science (LSE) ( email )

Department of Finance
Houghton Street
London, WC2A 2AE
United Kingdom

HOME PAGE: http://personal.lse.ac.uk/verardom/

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