An Empirical Analysis of Alternative Portfolio Selection Criteria

41 Pages Posted: 19 Mar 2009 Last revised: 22 Apr 2010

See all articles by Manfred Gilli

Manfred Gilli

University of Geneva - Research Center for Statistics; Swiss Finance Institute

Enrico Schumann

Independent

Date Written: March 3, 2009

Abstract

In modern portfolio theory, financial portfolios are characterised by a desired property, the 'reward', and something undesirable, the 'risk'. While these properties are commonly identified with mean and variance of returns, respectively, we test alternative specifications like partial and conditional moments, quantiles, and drawdowns. More specifically, we analyse the empirical performance of portfolios selected by optimising risk-reward ratios constructed from these alternative functions. We find that these portfolios in many cases outperform our benchmark (minimum-variance), in particular when long-run returns are concerned. However, we also find that all the strategies tested seem quite sensitive to relatively small changes in the data. The main theme throughout our results is that minimising risk, as opposed to maximising reward, often leads to good out-of-sample performance. In contrast, adding a reward-function to the selection criterion improves a given strategy often only marginally.

Keywords: Portfolio optimisation, Optimisation heuristics, Partial moments, Downside risk, Expected Shortfall, Value-at-Risk, Risk measures, Performance measures, Threshold Accepting

JEL Classification: G11, C61, C63

Suggested Citation

Gilli, Manfred and Schumann, Enrico, An Empirical Analysis of Alternative Portfolio Selection Criteria (March 3, 2009). Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper No. 09-06. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1365167 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1365167

Manfred Gilli

University of Geneva - Research Center for Statistics ( email )

Geneva
Switzerland
+41223798222 (Phone)
+41223798299 (Fax)

HOME PAGE: http://www.unige.ch/ses/metri/gilli/

Swiss Finance Institute ( email )

c/o University of Geneva
40, Bd du Pont-d'Arve
CH-1211 Geneva 4
Switzerland

Enrico Schumann (Contact Author)

Independent ( email )

No Address Available

Register to save articles to
your library

Register

Paper statistics

Downloads
968
Abstract Views
3,920
rank
22,358
PlumX Metrics