U.S. Commercial Bank Lending Through 2008:Q4: New Evidence from Gross Credit Flows

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper No. 2009-011C

40 Pages Posted: 21 Mar 2009 Last revised: 6 Sep 2010

See all articles by Silvio Contessi

Silvio Contessi

Monash Business School - Department of Banking and Finance; Financial Research Network (FIRN)

Johanna Francis

Fordham University

Date Written: September 3, 2010

Abstract

What was hiding behind the aggregate commercial bank loans through the end of 2008? We use balance sheet data for every insured U.S. commercial bank from 1999:Q1 to 2008:Q4 to construct credit expansion and credit contraction series and provide new evidence on changes in lending. Until 2008:Q3 net credit growth was not dissimilar to the 1980 and 2001 recessions. However, between the third and fourth quarter credit contraction grew larger than credit expansion across all types of loans and for the largest banks. With the inclusion of 2008:Q4 data our series most resemble the intensification of the Savings and Loan crisis.

Keywords: Credit Market, Reallocation, Aggregate Restructuring, Business Cycle, Financial crisis

JEL Classification: E44, E51, G21

Suggested Citation

Contessi, Silvio and Francis, Johanna, U.S. Commercial Bank Lending Through 2008:Q4: New Evidence from Gross Credit Flows (September 3, 2010). Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper No. 2009-011C, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1366007 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1366007

Silvio Contessi (Contact Author)

Monash Business School - Department of Banking and Finance ( email )

P.O. Box 197
Caulfield East, 3145
Australia

Financial Research Network (FIRN) ( email )

C/- University of Queensland Business School
St Lucia, 4071 Brisbane
Queensland
Australia

Johanna Francis

Fordham University ( email )

113 West 60th Street
New York, NY 10023
United States