A Quick & Dirty Method for Estimating Growth and Price Changes for Forecasting Financial Statements

26 Pages Posted: 9 Apr 2009 Last revised: 7 May 2009

See all articles by Ignacio Velez-Pareja

Ignacio Velez-Pareja

Grupo Consultor CAV Capital Advisory & Valuation

Date Written: April 11, 2009

Abstract

In this teaching note we show a dirty and quick approach to extract relevant information from historical financial data for forecasting financial statements. We make extensive use of the Fisher Equation and find three components that affect the growth of sales and other items in dollars. These components are change in quantities, change in real prices and inflation rate. Once we estimate the first two inputs we incorporate in the analysis an inflation forecast. The combination of the three components allows us to estimate the growth and construct the forecast.

Keywords: Accounting, financial management, financial statements, balance sheet, Income Statement, financial ratios, forecasting

JEL Classification: M41, G29

Suggested Citation

Velez-Pareja, Ignacio, A Quick & Dirty Method for Estimating Growth and Price Changes for Forecasting Financial Statements (April 11, 2009). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1374104 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1374104

Ignacio Velez-Pareja (Contact Author)

Grupo Consultor CAV Capital Advisory & Valuation ( email )

Ave Miramar # 18-93 Apt 6A
Cartagena
Colombia
+573112333074 (Phone)

HOME PAGE: http://cashflow88.com/decisiones/decisiones.html

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