On the Independence and Identical Distribution of Points in Tennis

Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research, Discussion Paper Series No. 1998-53

Posted: 18 Dec 1998

See all articles by Franc Klaassen

Franc Klaassen

University of Amsterdam - Research Institute in Economics & Econometrics (RESAM); Tinbergen Institute

J.R. Magnus

Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, School of Business and Economics

Date Written: 1998

Abstract

This article presents a study of the (conditional) probability of winning a point on service, based on almost 90,000 points played at Wimbledon, 1992-1995. We show that points are neither independent nor identically distributed, and we present an extended logit model that captures the dependence and non-identical distribution. Many well-known tennis hypotheses are tested; most are refuted.

JEL Classification: C19

Suggested Citation

Klaassen, Franc and Magnus, Jan R., On the Independence and Identical Distribution of Points in Tennis (1998). Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research, Discussion Paper Series No. 1998-53. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=138096

Franc Klaassen

University of Amsterdam - Research Institute in Economics & Econometrics (RESAM) ( email )

Roetersstraat 11
Amsterdam
Netherlands
+31 20 525 4191 (Phone)
+31 20 525 4254 (Fax)

Tinbergen Institute ( email )

Burg. Oudlaan 50
Rotterdam, 3062 PA
Netherlands

Jan R. Magnus (Contact Author)

Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, School of Business and Economics ( email )

De Boelelaan 1105
Amsterdam, 1081HV
Netherlands

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