On the Independence and Identical Distribution of Points in Tennis
Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research, Discussion Paper Series No. 1998-53
Posted: 18 Dec 1998
Date Written: 1998
This article presents a study of the (conditional) probability of winning a point on service, based on almost 90,000 points played at Wimbledon, 1992-1995. We show that points are neither independent nor identically distributed, and we present an extended logit model that captures the dependence and non-identical distribution. Many well-known tennis hypotheses are tested; most are refuted.
JEL Classification: C19
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation