Scarcity of Ideas and R&D Options: Use It, Lose It, or Bank It
34 Pages Posted: 22 Apr 2009 Last revised: 17 Feb 2011
Date Written: November 27, 2010
We investigate optimal rewards in an R&D model where substitute ideas for innovation arrive to random recipients at random times. By foregoing investment in a current idea, society as a whole preserves an option to invest in a better idea for the same market niche, but with delay. Because successive ideas may occur to different people, there is a conflict between private and social optimality. We investigate the optimal policy when the social planner learns over time about the arrival rate of ideas, and when private recipients of ideas can bank their ideas for future use. We argue that private incentives to create socially valuable options can be achieved by giving higher rewards where "ideas are scarce."
Keywords: Scarce ideas, imagination, innovation, real options, search models, rewards to R&D, unknown hazard rate
JEL Classification: O34, K00, L00
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation