An Empirical Analysis of Accurate Budget Forecasting in Turkey
Dogus Universitesi Dergisi, Vol. 6, No. 2, pp. 190-201, 2005
12 Pages Posted: 8 Jul 2009
Date Written: 2005
This paper analyzes the accuracy of budget forecasts in Turkey. Data is based on 23 years’ forecasted and materialized general budget revenues and outlays, from 1981 to 2003. One sample statistics, tabulated, and one sample t tests are applied to find out the accuracy of forecasting and the results show that there are statistically significant forecast errors and this significance, especially, indicates biases towards under-forecasting of outlays and over-forecasting of revenues.
Keywords: Budget Forecasting, Budgeting, Forecast Error
JEL Classification: H68, C53, E17
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation