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Technology Adoption, Vintage Capital and Asset Prices

Xiaoji Lin

Ohio State University (OSU) - Fisher College of Business

October 1, 2009

We study technology adoption, risk and expected returns using a dynamic equilibrium model with production. The central insight is that optimal technology adoption is an important driving force of the cross section of stock returns. The model predicts that technology adopting firms are less risky than non-adopting firms. Intuitively, by restricting firms from freely upgrading existing capital to the technology frontier, costly technology adoption reduces the flexibility of firms in smoothing dividends, and hence generates the risk dispersion between technology adopting firms and non-adopting firms. The model explains qualitatively and in many cases quantitatively empirical regularities: (i) The positive relation between firm age and stock returns; (ii) firms with high investment on average are younger and earn lower returns than firms with low investment; and (iii) growth firms on average are younger than value firms, and the value premium is increasing in firm age.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 36

Keywords: Technology Adoption, Vintage Capital, Firm Age, Investment, Stock Returns

JEL Classification: E23, E44, G12

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Date posted: July 21, 2009 ; Last revised: October 29, 2015

Suggested Citation

Lin, Xiaoji, Technology Adoption, Vintage Capital and Asset Prices (October 1, 2009). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1436044 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1436044

Contact Information

Xiaoji Lin (Contact Author)
Ohio State University (OSU) - Fisher College of Business ( email )
2100 Neil Avenue
Columbus, OH 43210-1144
United States

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