The Structure of Evolving US Scientific Opinion on Climate Change and its Potential Consequences

26 Pages Posted: 13 Aug 2009 Last revised: 18 Sep 2009

Stephen J. Farnsworth

George Mason University

samuel robert lichter

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Date Written: 2009

Abstract

Two elite surveys of members of the American Meteorological Society and the American Geophysical Union conducted by the Gallup Organization in 1991 and Harris Interactive in 2007 reveal that the vast majority of climate scientists in a variety of fields have come to believe that human-induced global warming is occurring and that it poses a significant threat to the planet in the future. Multivariate analysis of the 2007 survey reveals that the scientists who foresee the most severe future global consequences are younger scientists, those who work in colleges and universities and those most likely to believe that researchers understand the process of climate change relatively well.

Keywords: science, climate change, elite survey, expert opinion

Suggested Citation

Farnsworth, Stephen J. and lichter, samuel robert, The Structure of Evolving US Scientific Opinion on Climate Change and its Potential Consequences (2009). APSA 2009 Toronto Meeting Paper. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1450804

Stephen J. Farnsworth (Contact Author)

George Mason University ( email )

4400 University Drive
Fairfax, VA 22030
United States
703-993-4122 (Phone)
703-993-1096 (Fax)

Samuel Robert Lichter

affiliation not provided to SSRN

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