The Importance of Federal Judical Selection on Presidential Vote Choice
27 Pages Posted: 13 Aug 2009 Last revised: 2 Oct 2009
Date Written: 2009
The Supreme Court is an important player in American public policy and most people report favorable impressions of the institution. However, little is known about the extent to which evaluations of the Court or considerations of its membership might drive Presidential vote choice. In this paper, we use preliminary survey data to show that certain types of people are more likely than others to consider the impact of potential judicial nominations when making their voting choices (and a large percentage of people surveyed deem the composition of the court at least somewhat relevant to their decision), while knowledge of or confidence in the Supreme Court has little influence on the degree to which those considerations matter. Because we have little literature to guide us, we posit some theoretical foundations for these findings as well as some directions for further research.
Keywords: voting behavior, judicial appointments, confidence in courts
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