Crisis Management in an Authoritarian Regime: Media Effects During the Sichuan Earthquake

39 Pages Posted: 29 Aug 2009

See all articles by Pierre F. Landry

Pierre F. Landry

University of Pittsburgh

Daniela Stockmann

Leiden University - Department of Political Science

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Date Written: August 28, 2009

Abstract

Exogenous shocks are said to play a key role in the breakdown of authoritarian regimes. This paper sheds light on the conditions under which crisis management play out to the advantage of authoritarian leaders, or not. By chance, a national probability survey of the Chinese population was conducted before and after the 2008 Sichuan earthquake. Based on a quasi-experimental design that allows us to match pre- and post-quake respondents, we find that citizens were highly responsive to media content. In the short run, a more open information policy helped shore up support for a government that exhibited a high degree of responsiveness to the crisis. We find, however, that this approach may have undermined the regime’s legitimacy. Whereas in the immediate aftermath of the quake the Chinese media emphasized political unity and harmony, over time increasing and unusual criticisms of local governments in the media eroded public confidence. Even though support for political unity and harmony increased immediately after the quake, it quickly dropped below pre-quake levels. Our results are robust both to matching and to more standard parametric specifications.

Keywords: Authoritarian regimes, China, public opinion, survey methods, imputation,. matching

JEL Classification: C42

Suggested Citation

Landry, Pierre F. and Stockmann, Daniela, Crisis Management in an Authoritarian Regime: Media Effects During the Sichuan Earthquake (August 28, 2009). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1463796 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1463796

Pierre F. Landry (Contact Author)

University of Pittsburgh ( email )

4L01 Posvar Hall
Pittsburgh, PA 15260
United States
412-648-7250 (Phone)
412-648-7277 (Fax)

HOME PAGE: http://www.pitt.edu/~politics/faculty.html

Daniela Stockmann

Leiden University - Department of Political Science ( email )

2333 AK Leiden
Netherlands
+31 (0)71 527 3867 (Phone)

HOME PAGE: http://www.daniestockmann.net

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