44 Pages Posted: 8 Sep 2009 Last revised: 24 Mar 2011
Date Written: March 21, 2011
Using new data on market-based transactions we construct real estate price indexes for Manhattan between 1920 and 1939. During the 1920s prices reached their highest level in the third quarter of 1929 before falling by 67 percent at the end of 1932 and hovering around that value for most of the Great Depression. The value of high-end properties strongly co-moved with the stock market between 1929 and 1932. A typical property bought in 1920 would have retained only 56 percent of its initial value in nominal terms two decades later. An investment in the stock market index (including dividends) would have outperformed an investment in a typical property (including net rental income), by a factor of 5.2 over our time period.
Keywords: Real Estate, Price Index, Great Depression
JEL Classification: E32, G01, N12, N92, L85
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation
Nicholas, Tom and Scherbina, Anna, Real Estate Prices During the Roaring Twenties and the Great Depression (March 21, 2011). UC Davis Graduate School of Management Research Paper No. 18-09. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1470448 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1470448