Endowment Structures, Industrial Dynamics, and Economic Growth
43 Pages Posted: 20 Apr 2016
Date Written: September 1, 2009
This paper develops a dynamic general equilibrium model to explore industrial evolution and economic growth in a closed developing economy. The authors show that industries will endogenously upgrade toward the more capital-intensive ones as the capital endowment becomes more abundant. The model features a continuous inverse-V-shaped pattern of industrial evolution driven by capital accumulation: As the capital endowment reaches a certain threshold, a new industry appears, prospers, then declines and finally disappears. While the industry is declining, a more capital-intensive industry appears and booms, ad infinitum. Explicit solutions are obtained to fully characterize the whole dynamics of perpetual structural change and economic growth. Implications for industrial policies are discussed.
Keywords: Economic Theory & Research, Political Economy, Economic Growth, Debt Markets, Emerging Markets
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