From Crude Law to Civil Relations: The Dynamics and Potential Resolution of Intractable Conflict

28 Pages Posted: 25 Oct 2009

See all articles by Andrzej Nowak

Andrzej Nowak

University of Warsaw - Institute for Social Studies

Morton Deutsch

Columbia University - Teachers' College

Wieslaw Bartkowski

Warsaw School of Advanced Social Psychology

Date Written: June 15, 2009

Abstract

A formal model that captures the basic processes at work in the development and transformation of intractable conflict is presented. The formal model translates the insights of the Crude Law, which distills the principles underlying a highly diverse set of ideas and research finding into parameters that can be instantiated in computer simulations. The results of the simulations show emergent consequences that were not anticipated in the verbal version. Local mechanisms are found to be crucial for global dynamics of conflict. Conflicts grow exponentially in places of the highest incompatibility of interests and diffuse from these places. Conflicts escalate to intractability by changing social orientations in areas of its highest intensity. Disrupt ion of locality (e.g. globalization) can paradoxically reduce the conflict. Simulations also suggest that seemingly intractable conflicts can be transformed by creating a fast growing positive process in the vicinity of their center.

Suggested Citation

Nowak, Andrzej and Deutsch, Morton and Bartkowski, Wieslaw, From Crude Law to Civil Relations: The Dynamics and Potential Resolution of Intractable Conflict (June 15, 2009). 22nd Annual IACM Conference Paper, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1493525 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1493525

Andrzej Nowak (Contact Author)

University of Warsaw - Institute for Social Studies ( email )

Stawki 5/7
Warsaw, 00 183
Poland

Morton Deutsch

Columbia University - Teachers' College ( email )

525 W. 120th St.
New York, NY 10027
United States

Wieslaw Bartkowski

Warsaw School of Advanced Social Psychology ( email )

Kolberga 15
Warsaw, Pomorskie 81881
Poland

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