Does Inflation 'Grease the Wheels of the Labor Market'?
REDUCING INFLATION: MOTIVATION AND STRATEGY, Christina Romer, David Romer, eds., University of Chicago Press, 1997
Posted: 7 Jan 2010
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Does Inflation "Grease the Wheels of the Labor Market"?
Date Written: 1997
Abstract
If nominal wages are downward rigid, moderate levels of inflation may improve labor market efficiency by facilitating real wage cuts. In this paper we attempt to test the hypothesis that downward real wage changes occur more readily in higher-inflation environments. Using individual wage change data from two sources, we find that about 6-10 percent of workers experience nominally rigid wages in a 10 percent inflation environment. This proportion rises to over 15 percent at a 5 percent inflation rate. We use the assumption of symmetry to generate counterfactual distributions of real wage changes in the absence of rigidities. These counterfactual distributions suggest that a 1 percent increase in the inflation rate reduces the fraction of workers with downward-rigid wages by about 0.8 percent, and allows real wages to fall about 0.06 percent faster. A market- level analysis of the effects of nominal rigidities, based on wage growth and unemployment at the state level, is less conclusive. We find only a weak statistical relationship between the rate of inflation and the pace of relative wage adjustments across local labor markets.
Keywords: Wages, Inflation, Labor market, Real wages, Rigidities, Wage adjustments
JEL Classification: C01, J01, J40, E31
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation