On the Timing and Pricing of Dividends

38 Pages Posted: 12 Feb 2010 Last revised: 15 Sep 2013

Jules H. van Binsbergen

University of Pennsylvania - The Wharton School; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

Michael W. Brandt

Duke University - Fuqua School of Business; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

Ralph S. J. Koijen

New York University (NYU) - Department of Finance; Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)

Multiple version iconThere are 4 versions of this paper

Date Written: October 7, 2011

Abstract

We recover prices of dividend strips on the aggregate stock market using data from derivatives markets. The price of a k-year dividend strip is the present value of the dividend paid in k years. The value of the stock market is the sum of all dividend strip prices across maturities. We study the properties of strips and find that expected returns, Sharpe ratios, and volatilities on short-term strips are higher than on the aggregate stock market, while their CAPM betas are well below one. Short-term strip prices are more volatile than their realizations, leading to excess volatility and return predictability.

Keywords: Equity Risk Premium, Pricing Dividends, Trading Dividends, Return Predictability

Suggested Citation

van Binsbergen, Jules H. and Brandt, Michael W. and Koijen, Ralph S. J., On the Timing and Pricing of Dividends (October 7, 2011). CRSP Working Paper; Chicago Booth Research Paper No. 10-30; Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper No. 11-13. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1551654 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1551654

Jules H. Van Binsbergen (Contact Author)

University of Pennsylvania - The Wharton School ( email )

3641 Locust Walk
Philadelphia, PA 19104-6365
United States

National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

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Cambridge, MA 02138
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HOME PAGE: http://www.nber.org/people/jules_vanbinsbergen

Michael W. Brandt

Duke University - Fuqua School of Business ( email )

1 Towerview Drive
Durham, NC 27708-0120
United States

National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

1050 Massachusetts Avenue
Cambridge, MA 02138
United States

Ralph S. J. Koijen

New York University (NYU) - Department of Finance ( email )

Stern School of Business
44 West 4th Street
New York, NY 10012-1126
United States

HOME PAGE: http://www.koijen.net

Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR) ( email )

77 Bastwick Street
London, EC1V 3PZ
United Kingdom

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