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Exploring Paradigms of Crime Reduction: An Empirical Longitudinal Study

Posted: 15 Feb 2010  

Keith Soothill

Lancaster University

Mogens N. Christoffersen

affiliation not provided to SSRN

M. Azhar Hussain

Roskilde University, Department of Social Sciences and Business

Brian Francis

Lancaster University

Date Written: March 2010

Abstract

Using Danish registers for a 1980 birth cohort of 29,944 males with parental information and following up these cases for 25 years, the study considers four paradigms of crime reduction (parental child rearing, structural factors around adolescence, locality and individual resources). Focusing on offenders with first-time convictions for shoplifting (n = 1,989), for burglary (n = 1,324) and for violence (n = 1,901), all four paradigms made a contribution to risk of first-time offending for all three crimes. The counter-factual analysis indicated that a focus on structural issues within a society may have more widespread benefits, but the assumed causal links need to be further explored. The use of population registers, under controlled conditions, provides an important window on criminal careers.

Keywords: theory testing, crime recruitment, risk of first offending, parental factors, locality

Suggested Citation

Soothill, Keith and Christoffersen, Mogens N. and Hussain, M. Azhar and Francis, Brian, Exploring Paradigms of Crime Reduction: An Empirical Longitudinal Study (March 2010). The British Journal of Criminology, Vol. 50, Issue 2, pp. 222-238, 2010. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1551684 or http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/bjc/azp076

Keith Soothill (Contact Author)

Lancaster University

Lancaster LA1 4YF
United Kingdom

Mogens N. Christoffersen

affiliation not provided to SSRN

No Address Available

M. Azhar Hussain

Roskilde University, Department of Social Sciences and Business ( email )

Universitetsvej 1
P.O. Box 260
Roskilde, 4000
Denmark

Brian Francis

Lancaster University ( email )

Lancaster LA1 4YX
United Kingdom

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