Do Stock Analysts Influence Merger Completion? An Examination of Post-Merger Announcement Recommendations
47 Pages Posted: 8 Mar 2010 Last revised: 30 Aug 2014
Date Written: August 18, 2014
This paper investigates the effects of analyst recommendations issued after a merger announcement on deal completion. We find the probability of completion increases (decreases) with the favorability of acquirer (target) recommendations. Results from instrumental variables tests support causality running from recommendations to merger outcomes. Additional tests suggest that these relations are driven by target shareholders reassessing the merger offer in response to movements in acquirer and target valuations. We also find that favorably-recommended firms in a proposed merger underperform following deal resolution, suggesting that investors overreact to post-merger announcement recommendations.
Keywords: Mergers, Analysts, Merger Success, Valuation
JEL Classification: G32, G34, G21
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation