Use of Weibull Distribution as a Means of Assessing Political Conflicts

84 Pages Posted: 1 Jun 2010 Last revised: 21 Jun 2010

See all articles by Maurice Yolles

Maurice Yolles

John Moores University - Centre for the Creation of Coherent Change and Knowledge (C4K)

Date Written: May 30, 2010

Abstract

The use of the Weibull distributions showed some success over a decade ago in stochastically explaining processes of political conflict, but there seems to be so little work in this field that its utility is in danger of becoming forgotten. This paper is historical in that it presents two papers by Petersen originally published in 1977 and 1981 that provide an overview of his approach with extended illustration of its use. The overall technique is also explained. The main illustration provided is that of the Sino-Indian boarder dispute of the 1960s, a development of Smoker's original time series study.

Keywords: Politics, Conflict, Weibull Distribution, Stochastic Processes, Sino-Indian Boarder Dispute., Time Series

Suggested Citation

Yolles, Maurice, Use of Weibull Distribution as a Means of Assessing Political Conflicts (May 30, 2010). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1617997 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1617997

Maurice Yolles (Contact Author)

John Moores University - Centre for the Creation of Coherent Change and Knowledge (C4K) ( email )

Liverpool John Moores University
Liverpool
United Kingdom

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