Country-Specific Goal-Scoring in the 'Dying Seconds' of International Football Matches

CentER Discussion Paper Series No. 2010-54

27 Pages Posted: 3 Jun 2010

See all articles by Jan C. van Ours

Jan C. van Ours

Tilburg University - Department of Economics; University of Melbourne - Department of Economics

Martin van Tuijl

Tilburg University - Center and Faculty of Economics and Business Administration

Multiple version iconThere are 3 versions of this paper

Date Written: May 26, 2010

Abstract

This paper investigates whether there are country-specific characteristics in goal-scoring in the final stage of important international football matches. We examine goal-scoring from 1960 onwards in full `A' international matches of six national teams: Belgium, Brazil, England, Germany, Italy and the Netherlands. We analyze qualifying matches for the European Championship and World Cup and the matches at the final tournaments of these two events, the Copa America and the Confederations Cup. We find that the national teams of Germany, England and the Netherlands are more likely than the three other national teams to score in the last minute { including stoppage time. However, for Germans this comes at a cost. Germany is more likely to concede a goal in the dying seconds of a match than other countries. During our period of analysis, the national teams of Brazil and Italy only conceded one goal in the last minute. As to winning penalty shootouts, Germany outperforms the other five countries.

Keywords: football, goal-scoring, national team matches, full 'A' international matches

JEL Classification: J44, L83

Suggested Citation

van Ours, Jan C. and Tuijl, Martin van, Country-Specific Goal-Scoring in the 'Dying Seconds' of International Football Matches (May 26, 2010). CentER Discussion Paper Series No. 2010-54. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1618751 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1618751

Jan C. Van Ours (Contact Author)

Tilburg University - Department of Economics ( email )

P.O. Box 90153
Tilburg, 5000 LE
Netherlands
+31 13 466 2880 (Phone)
+31 13 466 3042 (Fax)

University of Melbourne - Department of Economics ( email )

Melbourne, 3010
Australia

Martin van Tuijl

Tilburg University - Center and Faculty of Economics and Business Administration ( email )

P.O. Box 90153
Tilburg, 5000 LE
Netherlands

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