The Housing Price Boom of the Late ’90s: Did Inflation Targeting Matter?

44 Pages Posted: 27 Jun 2010

Date Written: October 2009

Abstract

The recent boom in housing markets of most developed economies has spurred criticism that inflation targeting central banks may have neglected the build-up of financial imbalances. This paper provides a formal empirical test of such claims, using a standard program evaluation methodology to correct for a possible bias due to self-selection into inflation targeting. We consider 17 industrial economies over 1980-2006, among which nine countries have targeted inflation at some dates. We find robust evidence of a significant positive effect of inflation targeting on real housing price growth and on the housing price to rent ratio.

Keywords: Inflation targeting, Housing prices, Treatment effect, OECD countries

JEL Classification: E4, E52, E58

Suggested Citation

Frappa, Sébastien and Mésonnier, Jean-Stéphane, The Housing Price Boom of the Late ’90s: Did Inflation Targeting Matter? (October 2009). Banque de France Working Paper No. 255, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1630312 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1630312

Sébastien Frappa (Contact Author)

Banque de France ( email )

Paris
France

Jean-Stéphane Mésonnier

Banque de France ( email )

Paris
France

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