Evolving Foresight in a Small Transition Economy: The Design, Use and Relevance of Foresight Methods in Hungary
Journal of Forecasting, Vol. 22 (2003), No. 2-3, pp. 179–201
27 Pages Posted: 1 Jul 2010 Last revised: 29 Aug 2015
Date Written: March 1, 2003
Abstract
Hungary launched its first Technology Foresight Programme (TEP) in 1997. This was a holistic foresight programme, based on panel activities and a large-scale Delphi survey, with a strong emphasis on socio-economic needs. The paper discusses why a foresight exercise is relevant to a transition country, then describes what was done (organization, methods and results), and how the process evolved in Hungary. Policy conclusions, methodological lessons and questions for further research are also offered.
Keywords: technology foresight, innovation system, visions (futures), economic transition, Hungary
JEL Classification: O10, O20, O33, O38, O52, P27
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation
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